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Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Zucker's goal at 1:16 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 31% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were PIT 30, ANA 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.0 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. John Gibson (28 saves, .933), 2. Brendan Guhle (1 G), 3. Ryan Getzlaf (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Gibson28 saves, .933
  2. ★★
    ANA
    B. Guhle1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT01019111230
ANAANA1221504321

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:14

2nd period

  1. PIT
    J. Zucker(18)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:16
  2. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(13)PPG
    S. Steel (16), S. Milano (14)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    1-2
    9:23
  3. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    17:20

3rd period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    2-3
    18:39

Penalties

PIT 16 PIM·ANA 14 PIM

1st

  • 10:14PITEvan Rodrigues · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 19:04ANARyan Getzlaf · Hookingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 19:04ANARyan Getzlaf · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

2nd

  • 2:11PITJack Johnson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:25ANAJacob Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 6:25ANAMatt Irwin · Roughingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 6:25PITJason Zucker · Roughingdrawn by Matt Irwin2 min
  • 8:49PITJustin Schultz · High sticking double minordrawn by Ryan Getzlaf4 min
  • 10:40ANAMax Jones · Boardingdrawn by Chad Ruhwedel2 min
  • 12:18PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 12:18PITEvgeni Malkin · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

3rd

  • 0:47PITKris Letang · Cross checkingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 0:47ANAAdam Henrique · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 7:01ANAserved by S. Milano · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalPIT goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Zucker, 2nd 1:16 — PIT 31% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.23C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.19A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.17R. Getzlaf · Goal · xG 0.15D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.14A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.13R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.09K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.07K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.07B. Guhle · Goal · xG 0.07M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.06J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.04S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.02B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01
ANA3 G · 2.0 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsANA
2.52 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.01 G
Power play
1 G0.8
1.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT59%41%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsANA
30
Shots on goal
21
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/5
Power play
1/6
16
Penalty minutes
14
20
Hits
28
17
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000010.16122—27:51
28M. PetterssonD022+100.00030—23:18
87S. CrosbyC000030.150107122:14
17B. RustR000-120.27100—21:04
4J. SchultzD011-110.15024—20:46
71E. MalkinC000-230.540044019:21
3J. JohnsonD000030.07332—19:21
72P. HornqvistR000060.39110—16:35
16J. ZuckerL202030.40202—15:27
43C. ShearyL000030.21000—14:59
12P. MarleauC000+110.000002514:44
2C. RuhwedelD000000.00210—13:37
53T. BluegerC000010.010105712:06
19J. McCannL011+120.114001311:26
5Z. TrotmanD000-200.00110—11:25
13B. TanevL000000.00200—09:39
9E. RodriguesC000000.00102008:55
18D. SimonC000-110.02220007:25
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)21183.8571.98-1.0257:12

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).