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Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, PRIME·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 7:24 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were ANA 32, PIT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. John Gibson stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Matt Murray stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Murray (31 saves, .969), 3. John Gibson (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    M. Murray31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA08112012132
PITPIT01111017228

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(2)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:57
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:27

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +29 pts
    1-2
    7:24

Penalties

ANA 17 PIM·PIT 21 PIM

1st

  • 2:39ANAHampus Lindholm · Slashingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
  • 5:03ANAKorbinian Holzer · Fightingdrawn by Teddy Blueger5 min
  • 5:03PITTeddy Blueger · Instigatordrawn by Korbinian Holzer2 min
  • 5:03PITTeddy Blueger · Fightingdrawn by Korbinian Holzer5 min
  • 5:03PITTeddy Blueger · Misconduct10 min
  • 14:01PITserved by A. Agozzino · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:00ANAMax Jones · Slashingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min

2nd

  • 2:49ANAJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 5:21ANAJosh Manson · Hookingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 6:20ANAAdam Henrique · High stickingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 19:11ANADerek Grant · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 10:02PITZachary Aston-Reese · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalANA goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 3rd 7:24 — PIT 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.15J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.13D. Kahun · Missed · xG 0.13J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.12P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.09D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.09K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.08J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.04D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lafferty · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT2 G · 2.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsPIT
1.71 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.51 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA39%61%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsPIT
32
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
1/6
17
Penalty minutes
21
41
Hits
37
13
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
9
11
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000+100.01200—22:13
47H. LindholmD000-130.06012—20:09
15R. GetzlafC000020.065106220:01
2B. GuhleD011+100.00020—19:42
33J. SilfverbergR000030.36300—18:16
67R. RakellR000080.32220—18:09
14A. HenriqueC000020.095024218:08
42J. MansonD000-110.02424—17:32
5K. HolzerD000010.04525—17:09
25O. KaseR101020.15100—16:19
32J. LarssonD000000.00000—16:09
37N. RitchieL011010.09500—15:42
29D. ShoreC000000.0021010014:04
61T. TerryR000000.00000—13:47
24C. RowneyC000010.05300011:12
48I. LundestromC000030.361106311:07
38D. GrantC000020.051123010:42
49M. JonesL000030.04202—10:41
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)28262.9292.24+0.2458:38

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).