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Blackhawks at Lightning
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV SUN, NBCSCH·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-2. The Blackhawks came back from two goals down. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Slater Koekkoek's goal at 9:56 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were CHI 27, TBL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 36 of 38 (.947); Curtis McElhinney stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dominik Kubalik (3 G), 2. Corey Crawford (36 saves, .947), 3. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    D. Kubalik3 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    C. Crawford36 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI01106510527
TBLTBL010117111238

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +21 pts
    0-1
    15:31

3rd period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:17
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.31win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    4:36
  3. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    5:02
  4. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +32 pts
    3-2
    9:56
  5. CHI
    D. Kubalik(28)PPG
    slapxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    4-2
    11:43
  6. CHI
    B. Saad (11)
    snapxG 0.70win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    17:29

Penalties

CHI 12 PIM·TBL 34 PIM

1st

  • 4:25CHIConnor Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Mitchell Stephens2 min
  • 6:54TBLYanni Gourde · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 8:20CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 13:15TBLBarclay Goodrow · Holdingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min
  • 15:27CHIBrandon Saad · High stickingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
  • 19:24TBLAlex Killorn · Trippingdrawn by Slater Koekkoek2 min

2nd

  • 5:20TBLserved by C. Verhaeghe · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:38CHIConnor Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

3rd

  • 2:28TBLLuke Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 5:57CHISlater Koekkoek · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 10:35TBLNikita Kucherov · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 19:28CHIDrake Caggiula · Slashingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 19:28TBLBarclay Goodrow · Roughingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 19:28TBLCedric Paquette · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:28TBLZach Bogosian · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCHI goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Slater Koekkoek, 3rd 9:56 — CHI 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.20N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.17A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.15O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.07T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.05A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.05T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.05A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.04B. Point · Goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.03O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 2.3 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsTBL
2.84 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.01 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.90 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI45%55%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsTBL
27
Shots on goal
38
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/6
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
34
12
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD011+120.07040—28:45
6O. MaattaD000+110.01120—23:33
88P. KaneR000030.53012—20:26
19J. ToewsC000+240.160006519:51
5C. MurphyD000+210.05224—19:37
12A. DeBrincatR011020.09100—17:38
68S. KoekkoekD101010.05002—17:15
8D. KubalikL303+261.19100—16:29
20B. SaadL112+210.31002—16:15
77K. DachC000+110.020004414:08
64D. KampfC000000.000006013:52
17D. StromeC011020.210005813:32
22R. CarpenterC000000.00000012:53
91D. CaggiulaL000000.00112—12:30
27A. BoqvistD000020.08010—11:53
46L. CarlssonD000010.00200—11:40
36M. HighmoreC000000.00310009:58
92A. NylanderL000-100.00100—09:13
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(W)38362.9472.33+0.3360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).