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Lightning at Blackhawks
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
Chicago Blackhawks
2
FinalTV SUN, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 9:44 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were TBL 35, CHI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Curtis McElhinney stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Corey Crawford stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Victor Hedman (1 A), 2. Anthony Cirelli (1 G, 1 A), 3. Curtis McElhinney (32 saves, .941).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    C. McElhinney32 saves, .941

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL114010311435
CHICHI01208214234

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    M. Sergachev(1)PPG
    Y. Gourde (7), P. Maroon (4)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    16:10

3rd period

  1. CHI
    B. Seabrook(3)
    B. Saad (7), J. Toews (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +30 pts
    1-1
    8:27
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(4)
    V. Hedman (14), A. Killorn (9)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +32 pts
    2-1
    9:44
  3. TBL
    B. Point(5)
    O. Palat (5)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    12:23
  4. CHI
    D. Strome(5)
    A. Shaw (6), P. Kane (18)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    3-2
    17:17
  5. TBL
    C. Paquette(2)EN
    A. Cirelli (8), A. Killorn (10)
    wristxG 0.70win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    19:00

Penalties

TBL 6 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:56TBLAlex Killorn · Cross checkingdrawn by Slater Koekkoek2 min
  • 15:00CHIDuncan Keith · Interferencedrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 19:45TBLErik Cernak · Interferencedrawn by David Kampf2 min

2nd

  • 16:05TBLJan Rutta · Slashingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

3rd

  • 2:43CHIDavid Kampf · Boardingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 14:52CHIBrandon Saad · Hookingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalTBL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 3rd 9:44 — TBL 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.28P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.18P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.17B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.15P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.13A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.11J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10A. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.10J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.10A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.09E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.06J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.06J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.05A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.05B. Seabrook · Goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.04A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI2 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCHI
4.33 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL44%56%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCHI
35
Shots on goal
34
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
41
Hits
20
19
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
12
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011+220.07010—20:44
27R. McDonaghD000020.05110—20:24
21B. PointC101030.401203320:06
37Y. GourdeC011020.6011010018:56
71A. CirelliC112+130.262006318:53
9T. JohnsonC000+130.252002018:37
18O. PalatL011020.10540—18:28
17A. KillornL022+110.46012—18:17
81E. CernakD000-110.03412—18:16
13C. PaquetteC101-120.776303117:32
98M. SergachevD101020.10020—17:21
22K. ShattenkirkD000+120.05300—16:35
14P. MaroonL011030.56700—16:00
7M. JosephR000+120.21500—12:19
55B. CoburnD000010.03300—12:18
89C. ConacherC000020.30110012:10
44J. RuttaD000010.02012—11:32
91S. StamkosC000010.0001010005:17
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. McElhinney(W)34322.9412.99+0.9960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).