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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, SNW·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-0. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Pacioretty's goal at 16:04 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were EDM 29, VGK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Nick Cousins (1 G), 3. Max Pacioretty (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Fleury29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    VGK
    N. Cousins1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM01205012029
VGKVGK1901628333

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    16:04

3rd period

  1. VGK
    N. Cousins(10)PPG
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    5:44
  2. VGK
    slapxG 0.02win prob +4 pts
    0-3
    9:59

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:15VGKMax Pacioretty · Hookingdrawn by Caleb Jones2 min
  • 3:52EDMAdam Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 11:57VGKPaul Stastny · Trippingdrawn by Mike Green2 min

2nd

  • 15:03EDMPatrick Russell · Trippingdrawn by Alec Martinez2 min
  • 20:00VGKserved by W. Carrier · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 4:02EDMEthan Bear · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Max Pacioretty, 1st 16:04 — VGK 53% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.16R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.15R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.12J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.12M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.12J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.08T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.06N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.06A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.06C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.05N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.04B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
2.10 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.60 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM42%58%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
29
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
32
15
Blocked shots
19
5
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-110.03130—25:08
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000040.2110010023:13
74E. BearD000-110.00022—22:09
97C. McDavidC000-250.520004521:53
29L. DraisaitlC000040.691005021:15
27M. GreenD000-110.02030—19:42
82C. JonesD000-120.02030—18:12
39A. ChiassonR000010.14110—18:09
6A. LarssonD000000.02202—16:57
63T. EnnisR000-220.05500—15:40
15J. ArchibaldR000000.00300—13:07
23R. SheahanC000000.000105012:48
84W. LagessonD000000.01120—12:43
52P. RussellR000-120.17102—12:00
16J. KhairaL000010.06100—11:39
28A. AthanasiouC000-110.03200011:00
91G. HaasC000010.061002010:12
60M. GranlundC000030.06000008:51
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)33303.9092.48-0.5259:31

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).