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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Markus Granlund's goal at 12:04 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 31, VGK 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (3 A), 3. Shea Theodore (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl3 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM2911319431
VGKVGK1918010227

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(17)
    L. Draisaitl (29), Z. Kassian (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:17
  2. EDM
    E. Bear(4)
    L. Draisaitl (30), Z. Kassian (10)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    16:00
  3. VGK
    C. Eakin(3)
    N. Holden (3)
    slapxG 0.25win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:40

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Granlund(2)
    G. Haas (3), P. Russell (3)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    12:04
  2. VGK
    S. Theodore(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    14:19

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(18)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (31), R. Nugent-Hopkins (11)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    2:11

Penalties

EDM 0 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

2nd

  • 8:19VGKBrayden McNabb · Interferencedrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 0:39VGKMax Pacioretty · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 8:14VGKRyan Reaves · Cross checkingdrawn by James Neal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Markus Granlund, 2nd 12:04 — EDM 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Eakin · Goal · xG 0.25S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.22R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.15M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.13C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.06R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.05W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.02D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 1.9 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
2.54 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM61%39%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
31
Shots on goal
27
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
46
19
Blocked shots
18
1
Giveaways
14
12
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD000-110.04150—23:28
97C. McDavidC202+240.351106022:06
29L. DraisaitlC033+220.420004721:49
25D. NurseD000+240.05110—21:07
74E. BearD101+210.03310—20:17
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011-110.121006718:44
82C. JonesD000000.00100—18:04
44Z. KassianR022+230.37610—17:59
18J. NealL000-130.19400—17:40
4K. RussellD000-110.02020—16:34
6A. LarssonD000000.00120—15:35
39A. ChiassonR000-140.11320—14:28
23R. SheahanC000-100.001005612:44
52P. RussellR011+110.06310—12:28
60M. GranlundC101+130.29100012:25
15J. ArchibaldR000-110.18610—12:11
91G. HaasC011+110.283102211:38
10J. NygardL000-110.01010—10:54
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)27252.9261.91-0.0959:49

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).