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Florida Panthers at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A, FS-A PLUS·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Utah Mammoth 2-1. The Coyotes scored first; the Panthers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Hoffman's goal at 8:50 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 55% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were FLA 26, ARI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (37 saves, .974), 2. Mike Hoffman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brad Richardson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Hoffman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    B. Richardson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0817111226
ARIARI112012014138

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    14:16

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:03

3rd period

  1. FLA
    M. Hoffman(25)PPG
    slapxG 0.12win prob +24 pts
    2-1
    8:50

Penalties

FLA 0 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:43ARIBarrett Hayton · Trippingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

3rd

  • 8:02ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalFLA goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Mike Hoffman, 3rd 8:50 — FLA 55% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.19N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.18O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.17B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.17L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.16B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.15P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.14D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.14B. Richardson · Goal · xG 0.13D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.11L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.10C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.10V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.09D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.07C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.06C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.06V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.04J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.02L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ness · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.00C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.00D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 3.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsARI
2.72 G
All situations
1 G3.1
1.31 G
Even strength
0 G2.9
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA25%75%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsARI
26
Shots on goal
38
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/2
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD011+120.07100—22:07
52M. WeegarD000+100.00220—21:49
6A. StralmanD000030.12110—21:27
61R. StillmanD000010.11510—21:08
16A. BarkovC011-140.270007118:33
63E. DadonovL000-130.08000—17:13
68M. HoffmanC112020.23010016:31
11J. HuberdeauL011-120.14310—16:28
3K. YandleD000-100.00010—16:09
7C. SceviourC000010.72210015:38
77F. VatranoR101+110.05500—15:36
55N. AcciariC000030.151105615:33
56E. HaulaL000+100.391004314:30
19M. MathesonD000000.04110—14:29
13M. PysykD000020.02000—14:28
28A. SaarelaC000000.0000010013:01
10B. ConnollyR000010.20110—12:41
71L. WallmarkC000010.062104612:39
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)38371.9743.15+2.1560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).