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Coyotes at Panthers
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸5
Florida Panthers
2
FinalTV FS-A PLUS, FS-F·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Florida Panthers 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Coyotes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Hall's goal at 15:39 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 51% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were ARI 37, FLA 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Chris Driedger stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A), 3. Noel Acciari (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    T. Hall1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    N. Acciari1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI011316210537
FLAFLA016210013239

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Dvorak(11)PPG
    T. Hall (24), O. Ekman-Larsson (14)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    10:20
  2. FLA
    N. Acciari(15)
    K. Yandle (29), V. Trocheck (18)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    11:21
  3. FLA
    M. Hoffman(15)
    R. Stillman (3), D. Toninato (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:57
  4. ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson(5)
    D. Stepan (10), P. Kessel (16)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:33
  5. ARI
    T. Hall(9)PPG
    P. Kessel (17), O. Ekman-Larsson (15)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    15:39

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Soderberg(13)
    J. Demers (6)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    17:58
  2. ARI
    L. Crouse(10)EN
    P. Kessel (18)
    snapxG 0.86
    5-2
    19:12

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:29ARILawson Crouse · Interferencedrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

2nd

  • 9:35FLAEvgenii Dadonov · Trippingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
  • 13:49FLAAleksander Barkov · Roughingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 13:49ARIChristian Fischer · Roughingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 15:05FLABrett Connolly · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 18:58ARITaylor Hall · Hookingdrawn by Jayce Hawryluk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalARI goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Taylor Hall, 2nd 15:39 — ARI 51% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.16E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.16N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.14N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.13N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.09D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.08N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05R. Stillman · Missed · xG 0.04B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.03A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 2.5 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsFLA
3.24 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.02 G
Power play
0 G1.1
1.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI47%53%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsFLA
37
Shots on goal
39
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
8
7
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD123+240.14200—24:10
55J. DemersD011+200.07220—23:13
6J. ChychrunD000020.01250—21:44
33A. GoligoskiD000020.03120—21:34
91T. HallL112080.49022—17:55
21D. StepanC011+220.061104317:41
15B. RichardsonR000-120.220004614:53
34C. SoderbergC101030.211104014:36
67L. CrouseL101+251.29202—14:25
18C. DvorakC101020.270005014:21
82J. OesterleD000-100.00100—14:21
8N. SchmaltzC000-100.000105614:16
83C. GarlandR000010.03000—14:04
13V. HinostrozaC000010.03200014:03
9C. KellerR000-110.05100—14:01
81P. KesselR033+210.13000—13:56
46I. LyubushkinD000-120.06300—13:39
36C. FischerR000010.11712—11:08
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(W)39372.9492.50+0.5060:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).