New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe New Jersey Devils beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Bratt's goal at 6:04 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 65% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were NJD 31, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Gusev (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jesper Bratt (1 G), 3. Pavel Zacha (2 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-01:15
2nd period
2-06:04
3-08:51
3rd period
3-19:40
4-113:40
Penalties
1st
- 5:01
served by T. Bertuzzi · Too many men on the ice2 min
2nd
- 4:26
Frans Nielsen · Holdingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
- 6:53
Dylan Larkin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 11:45
Miles Wood · Cross checkingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min
- 14:36
Pavel Zacha · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
3rd
- 3:07
Alex Biega · High stickingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
- 9:06
Jack Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
- 11:51
Dylan Larkin · Hookingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
- 19:16
John Hayden · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi5 min
- 19:16
Tyler Bertuzzi · Misconduct10 min
- 19:16
P.K. Subban · Misconduct10 min
- 19:16
John Hayden · Game misconductdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jesper Bratt, 2nd 6:04 — 65% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.64 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.6
- 1.81 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.2
- 0.83 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 1.56
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 3/5
- Power play
- 1/4
- 31
- Penalty minutes
- 20
- 11
- Hits
- 26
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 7
- Giveaways
- 9
- 2
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
