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Red Wings at Devils
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
New Jersey Devils
▸4
FinalTV FS-D, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Devils answered. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wayne Simmonds's goal at 6:54 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were DET 26, NJD 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.6 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Wayne Simmonds (2 G), 2. Andy Greene (1 G), 3. Damon Severson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    W. Simmonds2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    A. Greene1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Severson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0121509126
NJDNJD04011411426

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. Athanasiou(8)PPG
    A. Mantha (15), F. Hronek (20)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    16:34

3rd period

  1. NJD
    A. Greene(2)
    P. Zacha (18), D. Severson (17)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +28 pts
    1-1
    5:10
  2. NJD
    W. Simmonds(6)
    M. Wood (10), P. Zacha (19)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +28 pts
    1-2
    6:54
  3. NJD
    W. Simmonds(7)PPG
    K. Palmieri (18), D. Severson (18)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 pts
    1-3
    8:37
  4. NJD
    J. Bratt(11)
    P. Subban (7), W. Butcher (17)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    9:10

Penalties

DET 12 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:52NJDDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 3:22DETDarren Helm · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:18NJDAndy Greene · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

2nd

  • 2:59DETTyler Bertuzzi · High stickingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
  • 5:49NJDMiles Wood · Trippingdrawn by Alex Biega2 min
  • 7:30DETMike Green · Cross checkingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 9:35DETGustav Lindstrom · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:49DETAlex Biega · Interferencedrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 15:10NJDBlake Coleman · Illegal check to headdrawn by Alex Biega2 min

3rd

  • 7:51DETAlex Biega · Delaying game smothering puck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalDET goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Wayne Simmonds, 3rd 6:54 — NJD 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.21J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.21W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.19P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.19B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.17J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.16W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.16J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.16J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.15W. Simmonds · Goal · xG 0.15W. Simmonds · Goal · xG 0.14B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.13T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.12M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.10M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.09K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.08T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.06B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.03W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.03W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.02M. Mueller · Missed · xG 0.02P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · Goal · xG 0.01C. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.01P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 3.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNJD
2.01 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.60 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.31 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET26%74%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNJD
26
Shots on goal
26
67%
Faceoffs
33%
1/4
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
6
7
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011-100.00010—24:23
22P. NemethD000-100.03110—21:35
39A. ManthaR011-120.23110—19:16
28G. LindstromD000-100.04122—18:45
71D. LarkinC000-150.530206218:39
43D. HelmC000010.0020210018:01
83T. DaleyD000-130.03000—17:40
25M. GreenD000-200.02012—17:12
3A. BiegaD000010.03114—16:33
14R. FabbriC000-120.21110016:29
41L. GlendeningC000-110.061208916:22
51V. FilppulaC000000.000006015:24
59T. BertuzziL000-120.27002—13:53
81F. NielsenC000010.11100012:34
72A. AthanasiouC101-130.221005012:10
73A. ErneL000-110.01300—10:33
70C. EhnC000-120.000002009:38
8J. AbdelkaderL000-120.1820010009:16
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)26224.8463.43-0.5759:33

Season series

NJD leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).