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Flames at Red Wings
NHL

Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸4
Detroit Red Wings
2
FinalTV FS-D+, SN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 19:49 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were CGY 31, DET 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. David Rittich stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Jonathan Bernier stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Monahan (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dylan Larkin (2 G), 3. Noah Hanifin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    S. Monahan1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Larkin2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    N. Hanifin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY21211217431
DETDET1609114229

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(16)
    N. Hanifin (15), S. Monahan (24)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:46
  2. CGY
    S. Monahan(19)
    E. Lindholm (23)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    8:03
  3. DET
    D. Larkin(16)
    B. Perlini (3), P. Nemeth (8)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    15:48

2nd period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(14)
    N. Hanifin (16), M. Backlund (23)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    19:49

3rd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(17)
    A. Mantha (18), M. Bowey (13)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +6 pts
    3-2
    18:00
  2. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(15)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.47win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    19:48

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·DET 4 PIM

2nd

  • 11:35DETValtteri Filppula · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 19:58CGYMichael Stone · Cross checkingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min

3rd

  • 8:33DETMadison Bowey · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 11:11CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Trippingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCGY goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 2nd 19:49 — CGY 71% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.25D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.24D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.18T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.14M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.12L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.11J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.10R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.07P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.07F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.06R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.05B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.05R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.05C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.05R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.04A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.03J. Ericsson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ericsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.02A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.01F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01G. Lindstrom · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 2.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsDET
2.93 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY57%43%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsDET
31
Shots on goal
29
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
10
Hits
15
9
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
21
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000+300.03120—23:49
7T. BrodieD000-120.06000—23:14
55N. HanifinD022+210.10000—21:10
11M. BacklundC011+130.190005818:48
28E. LindholmC011+120.030005018:42
26M. StoneD000-250.14012—18:42
19M. TkachukL000+130.52010—17:19
88A. MangiapaneL202+250.7010210016:49
23S. MonahanC112+120.470106415:54
13J. GaudreauL101020.11000—15:30
58O. KylingtonD000+110.01000—14:45
29D. DubeC000010.08210014:27
17M. LucicL000+110.0700010014:26
45A. YelesinD000+100.03500—14:21
93S. BennettC000020.220007313:04
16T. RiederL000-110.07120—12:27
10D. RyanC000000.000106711:21
77M. JankowskiL000000.070005611:05
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)29272.9312.09+0.0960:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).