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Red Wings at Flames
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Calgary Flames
▸5
FinalTV FS-D, SN360·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 3:29 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 77% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were DET 28, CGY 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.9 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Derek Ryan (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mark Giordano (1 G, 1 A), 3. David Rittich (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Ryan1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Giordano1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Rittich27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET05113010128
CGYCGY11017319536

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(2)
    M. Giordano (4)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:01

2nd period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(5)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (5), S. Monahan (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    9:45
  2. DET
    D. Helm(3)
    A. Mantha (4), D. Cholowski (3)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    10:13

3rd period

  1. CGY
    S. Bennett(1)
    M. Lucic (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:29
  2. CGY
    D. Ryan(1)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    4:57
  3. CGY
    M. Giordano(2)PPG
    S. Monahan (4), D. Ryan (3)
    wristxG 0.07
    1-5
    8:47

Penalties

DET 21 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:36DETMike Green · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 18:02CGYMichael Frolik · Slashingdrawn by Christoffer Ehn2 min

2nd

  • 3:48CGYNoah Hanifin · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 8:37DETFilip Hronek · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 17:48DETFrans Nielsen · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 5:12DETDarren Helm · Slashingdrawn by Elias Lindholm5 min
  • 5:12CGYElias Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Darren Helm2 min
  • 5:12DETDarren Helm · Game misconductdrawn by Elias Lindholm10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalDET goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 3rd 3:29 — CGY 77% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.17D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.17M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.16E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.15M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.15M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.14D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.13M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.13A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.11M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.11M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.08S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.08N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.08M. Giordano · Goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.06R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 3.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCGY
2.21 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET36%64%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
2/5
21
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
11
23
Blocked shots
8
6
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65D. DeKeyserD000-210.07130—22:41
17F. HronekD000-220.12122—22:28
22P. NemethD000000.05010—21:49
25M. GreenD000+130.30162—20:16
71D. LarkinC000020.150103617:36
39A. ManthaR011030.31100—17:28
70C. EhnC000000.04210016:43
41L. GlendeningC000020.062006016:13
21D. CholowskiD011010.04010—16:03
59T. BertuzziL000-220.17110—15:06
3A. BiegaD000-110.02120—15:06
61J. de la RoseL000020.064204514:42
8J. AbdelkaderL000-110.12010—14:41
72A. AthanasiouC000-220.23120013:39
51V. FilppulaC000-110.011005512:31
67T. HiroseL000010.07000—12:01
81F. NielsenC000-120.161025011:08
43D. HelmC101+120.232015009:41
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)36315.8613.06-1.9460:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).