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Jets at Sabres
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Buffalo Sabres
▸2
FinalTV MSG-B, TSN3·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Winnipeg Jets 2-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Okposo's goal at 7:47 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were WPG 26, BUF 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Jonas Johansson stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Okposo (2 G), 2. Jonas Johansson (25 saves, .962), 3. Zemgus Girgensons (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    K. Okposo2 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Johansson25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    Z. Girgensons2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1110609126
BUFBUF180918225

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    K. Okposo(8)
    Z. Girgensons (6), H. Jokiharju (11)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:58
  2. WPG
    B. Wheeler(21)
    J. Harkins (5), M. Scheifele (41)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:37

3rd period

  1. BUF
    K. Okposo(9)
    Z. Girgensons (7), B. Montour (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +29 pts
    1-2
    7:47

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·BUF 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:18WPGPatrik Laine · Trippingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 11:44BUFBrandon Montour · Trippingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 12:10WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min

2nd

  • 2:08WPGBlake Wheeler · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalWPG goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Okposo, 3rd 7:47 — BUF 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.25K. Okposo · Goal · xG 0.20C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.17J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.12J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.09K. Okposo · Goal · xG 0.09M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.08C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.08J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.08K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.07C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.07C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.02K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01
BUF2 G · 1.9 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsBUF
2.21 G
All situations
2 G1.9
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG56%44%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 1.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsBUF
26
Shots on goal
25
68%
Faceoffs
32%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
19
6
Blocked shots
8
3
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. BeaulieuD000-110.05010—24:57
12D. DeMeloD000-110.01300—22:52
7D. KulikovD000+100.02000—22:09
4N. PionkD000+110.03110—21:02
9A. CoppC000010.070007020:53
81K. ConnorL000010.24100—20:41
55M. ScheifeleC011-110.130007120:29
29P. LaineL000-100.09002—19:12
26B. WheelerR101040.55114—18:11
27N. EhlersL000-120.19000—15:26
2A. BitettoD000-120.01310—14:33
20C. EakinC000010.044005514:23
58J. HarkinsC011060.51100013:44
28J. RoslovicC000010.13000013:34
3T. PoolmanD000-100.00000—12:28
21N. ShoreC000000.0501010008:16
82M. AppletonC000020.01000007:16
57G. BourqueL000020.08210—04:45
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)25232.9201.90-0.1059:09

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).