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Penguins at Capitals
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
Washington Capitals
▸5
FinalTV NBC, TVAS·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Oshie's goal at 10:40 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were PIT 35, WSH 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.5 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. T.J. Oshie (1 G, 1 A), 2. Carl Hagelin (2 G), 3. John Carlson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Oshie1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    C. Hagelin2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT08210117335
WSHWSH1605412523

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    J. Vrana(24)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:12

2nd period

  1. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(15)
    K. Letang (27), E. Malkin (41)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    14:47
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(13)
    J. Zucker (17), M. Pettersson (18)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    15:13

3rd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(20)
    N. Backstrom (38)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    1:16
  2. WSH
    C. Hagelin(6)
    L. Eller (22), J. Carlson (57)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +26 pts
    2-3
    4:41
  3. PIT
    E. Malkin(21)
    B. Rust (26)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    8:50
  4. WSH
    T. Oshie(25)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +32 pts
    3-4
    10:40
  5. WSH
    C. Hagelin(7)EN
    N. Backstrom (39), T. Oshie (21)
    backhandxG 0.95win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:13

Penalties

PIT 10 PIM·WSH 14 PIM

1st

  • 15:27WSHTom Wilson · Cross checkingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 19:38WSHJohn Carlson · Hookingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 20:00WSHBrenden Dillon · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 20:00PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 20:00PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 20:00WSHBrenden Dillon · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

2nd

  • 3:56PITMarcus Pettersson · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 9:16WSHGarnet Hathaway · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Angello2 min
  • 9:16PITAnthony Angello · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 16:28WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

3rd

  • 0:57PITKris Letang · Slashingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 0:57WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPIT goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: T.J. Oshie, 3rd 10:40 — WSH 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Hagelin · Goal · xG 0.95T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.30A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.20T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.18E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.17C. Hagelin · Goal · xG 0.16J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.15C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.11T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.09J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.09T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.09M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.08N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.06N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.05R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.05C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.04R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH5 G · 3.5 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWSH
3.23 G
All situations
4 G3.5
2.63 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT61%39%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWSH
35
Shots on goal
23
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/1
10
Penalty minutes
14
35
Hits
45
11
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
10
12
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011030.16122—26:13
87S. CrosbyC101-350.280004720:58
17B. RustR011+130.54100—20:45
3J. JohnsonD000000.00340—19:43
4J. SchultzD000-210.05010—19:22
71E. MalkinC112+130.533047119:05
28M. PetterssonD011010.03102—18:37
72P. HornqvistR101+150.48110—17:57
2C. RuhwedelD000-130.09200—16:26
16J. ZuckerL011-230.36300—16:12
53T. BluegerC000-110.071003616:10
19J. McCannL000-130.301005016:08
13B. TanevL000-110.17510—16:06
5Z. TrotmanD000-120.05300—14:32
12D. SimonC000-100.00300013:35
37S. LaffertyC000000.002105007:54
26A. AgozzinoL000010.002005607:51
57A. AngelloC000000.10312007:27
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)22184.8182.54-1.4658:59

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).