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Penguins at Capitals
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Washington Capitals
3
FinalTV NBC·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Washington Capitals 4-3. The Capitals scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Simon's goal at 11:59 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals were close — PIT 2.7, WSH 2.9; shots on goal were PIT 33, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Ilya Samsonov stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Murray (29 saves, .906), 2. Lars Eller (2 G), 3. Patric Hornqvist (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    M. Murray29 saves, .906
  2. ★★
    WSH
    L. Eller2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    P. Hornqvist1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT21211615433
WSHWSH11009213332

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    L. Eller(12)
    R. Panik (6)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    10:38
  2. PIT
    S. Lafferty(5)
    A. Galchenyuk (12)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:46
  3. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(12)
    J. Marino (20), E. Malkin (38)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    12:40

2nd period

  1. PIT
    D. Simon(7)
    S. Crosby (20), J. McCann (16)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    11:59

3rd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(18)
    J. Vrana (22), N. Jensen (4)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    6:00
  2. PIT
    B. Tanev(11)
    T. Blueger (11), Z. Aston-Reese (7)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    4-2
    17:27
  3. WSH
    L. Eller(13)
    C. Hagelin (11), R. Gudas (13)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +7 pts
    4-3
    17:42

Penalties

PIT 10 PIM·WSH 16 PIM

1st

  • 0:35WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 4:09PITJack Johnson · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 4:09WSHGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Jack Johnson2 min
  • 5:42PITJohn Marino · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 8:18WSHLars Eller · Interferencedrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 17:05PITDominik Simon · Holding the stickdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

2nd

  • 3:17WSHJonas Siegenthaler · Slashingdrawn by Alex Galchenyuk2 min
  • 13:27PITSidney Crosby · Interferencedrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 15:43WSHserved by B. Leipsic · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 0:17PITKris Letang · Cross checkingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 0:17WSHTom Wilson · High stickingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 1:54WSHDmitry Orlov · Slashingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 10:41WSHCarl Hagelin · High stickingdrawn by Chad Ruhwedel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPIT goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Dominik Simon, 2nd 11:59 — PIT 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.30T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.20E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.20T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.16G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.16J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.16A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.15M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.13L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.13D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.09C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.09L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.08L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.08J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.05T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.05M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.01R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 2.9 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWSH
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.54 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT45%55%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWSH
33
Shots on goal
32
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/6
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
16
24
Hits
47
22
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000010.03112—29:28
3J. JohnsonD000010.03372—23:14
17B. RustR000020.22000—22:58
71E. MalkinC011010.314003821:43
87S. CrosbyC011020.392025820:59
72P. HornqvistR101+170.75200—18:32
28M. PetterssonD000+130.04010—16:57
19J. McCannL011-130.15300—16:51
6J. MarinoD011+100.00022—16:34
12D. SimonC101-220.21002015:36
53T. BluegerC011+110.021204714:42
4J. SchultzD000-110.03040—14:16
13B. TanevL101+130.0721010014:07
46Z. Aston-ReeseL011+100.00120—12:59
2C. RuhwedelD000+110.05120—10:30
18A. GalchenyukC011020.34000009:11
57A. AngelloC000+100.00200005:49
37S. LaffertyC101+130.0520010005:41
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)32293.9062.87-0.1359:53

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).