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Sabres at Penguins
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, MSG-B·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 6:48 of the first period, which took the Sabres' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.8 to 2.7; shots on goal were BUF 26, PIT 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Eichel (2 G), 2. Carter Hutton (41 saves, .953), 3. Evgeni Malkin (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Eichel2 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    C. Hutton41 saves, .953
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF31001125526
PITPIT012113118243

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    Z. Girgensons(11)
    K. Okposo (8)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:14
  2. BUF
    S. Reinhart(22)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    6:48
  3. BUF
    J. Eichel(34)PPG
    R. Ristolainen (25), S. Reinhart (28)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    10:51

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(19)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    11:10

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(12)
    M. Johansson (18), M. Frolik (7)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    5:39
  2. BUF
    J. Eichel(35)PPG
    R. Dahlin (33), R. Ristolainen (26)
    wristxG 0.08
    5-1
    12:17
  3. PIT
    E. Malkin(20)
    P. Hornqvist (14)
    wristxG 0.27
    5-2
    17:57

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:44PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 15:52BUFColin Miller · Roughingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

2nd

  • 8:24PITJustin Schultz · Trippingdrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min

3rd

  • 6:05BUFBrandon Montour · Trippingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 8:03PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 8:03BUFCurtis Lazar · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 11:26PITBrandon Tanev · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalBUF goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 1st 6:48 — BUF 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.27P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.27P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.27P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.21J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.20P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.19E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.14E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.14E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.14S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.13A. Agozzino · On goal · xG 0.12P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.12J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.11T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.08A. Angello · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.06J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.06T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.04J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.04P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.04D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.02D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Trotman · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Trotman · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Trotman · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Trotman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Angello · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT2 G · 3.8 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPIT
2.75 G
All situations
2 G3.8
2.43 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.32 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF36%64%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 3.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPIT
26
Shots on goal
43
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
40
13
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD022+220.12310—23:13
62B. MontourD000+200.04112—21:46
26R. DahlinD011-100.01400—19:26
33C. MillerD000-120.03132—18:54
10H. JokiharjuD000020.04100—18:50
9J. EichelC202+120.31020018:30
23S. ReinhartC112+120.270103618:04
19J. McCabeD000000.00410—17:02
68V. OlofssonL000+110.07100—15:47
90M. JohanssonL011+130.104104515:08
67M. FrolikR011000.00300—14:35
22J. LarssonL000020.112003814:05
28Z. GirgensonsC101010.30200013:50
53J. SkinnerL101030.19200—13:45
13J. VeseyL000-120.43000—13:23
43C. ShearyL000010.41010—13:19
27C. LazarC000-100.092125413:14
21K. OkposoR011+130.1711010013:09
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(W)43412.9533.77+1.7760:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).