Skip to content
Sabres at Penguins
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, MSG-B·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Conor Sheary's goal at 14:03 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 48% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were BUF 41, PIT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 38 of 41 (.927). Three stars: 1. Conor Sheary (2 G), 2. Casey Mittelstadt (2 A), 3. Evgeni Malkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    C. Sheary2 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    C. Mittelstadt2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF117213011341
PITPIT01315011129

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    C. Sheary(1)
    C. Mittelstadt (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:23

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(1)PPG
    K. Letang (1), S. Crosby (1)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    5:50
  2. BUF
    C. Sheary(2)PPG
    C. Mittelstadt (2), C. Miller (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    14:03
  3. BUF
    R. Dahlin(1)
    S. Reinhart (1), V. Olofsson (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    19:16

Penalties

BUF 10 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:40BUFVladimir Sobotka · Closing hand on puck2 min

2nd

  • 5:24BUFCasey Mittelstadt · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 9:58PITMarcus Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 12:29PITBrian Dumoulin · Holdingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min

3rd

  • 5:28BUFZemgus Girgensons · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 8:46BUFColin Miller · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 17:39BUFRasmus Ristolainen · High stickingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalBUF goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Conor Sheary, 2nd 14:03 — BUF 48% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.32J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.12E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.08A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.06D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.05J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.04D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.04D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 1.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPIT
3.03 G
All situations
1 G1.8
1.92 G
Even strength
0 G0.8
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF66%34%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPIT
41
Shots on goal
29
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
35
Hits
42
19
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19J. McCabeD000020.09240—25:11
55R. RistolainenD000050.05522—23:53
6M. ScandellaD000020.03130—21:33
9J. EichelC000+140.232005621:18
23S. ReinhartC011+120.2041010019:37
68V. OlofssonL011+120.39100—17:11
10H. JokiharjuD000000.00020—16:51
53J. SkinnerL000050.1611010016:41
17V. SobotkaC000010.056026016:14
26R. DahlinD101+230.21100—15:45
90M. JohanssonL000000.000102215:19
33C. MillerD011+220.06322—15:01
22J. LarssonL000020.031005914:01
28Z. GirgensonsC000030.21202012:56
13J. VeseyL000+120.47210—12:39
37C. MittelstadtC022+120.130023609:25
43C. ShearyL202+130.25110—09:19
21K. OkposoR000010.4631010008:40
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(W)29281.9661.81+0.8160:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).