Skip to content

Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV NHLN, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Washington Capitals 3-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Damon Severson's goal at 18:01 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 56% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 35, NJD 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Damon Severson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mackenzie Blackwood (33 saves, .943), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    D. Severson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    M. Blackwood33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH011111113235
NJDNJD1711319329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    12:55

2nd period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt (14), N. Gusev (26)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    12:12
  2. WSH
    T. Wilson(19)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    14:44

3rd period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.09win prob +26 pts
    2-2
    4:50
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.13win prob +38 pts
    2-3
    18:01

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·NJD 14 PIM

1st

  • 2:36NJDConnor Carrick · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 5:21NJDTravis Zajac · High stickingdrawn by Michal Kempny2 min

2nd

  • 10:14WSHBrenden Dillon · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 14:03NJDColton White · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 16:45NJDJohn Hayden · Holdingdrawn by John Carlson2 min

3rd

  • 10:51NJDColton White · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 10:51WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Colton White2 min
  • 11:55NJDDakota Mermis · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 13:41NJDTravis Zajac · High stickingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 15:44WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 16:55WSHMichal Kempny · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWSH goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Damon Severson, 3rd 18:01 — NJD 56% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.18N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.17N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.16J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.15D. Severson · Goal · xG 0.13J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.11N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.10T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.09W. Simmonds · Goal · xG 0.09N. Merkley · On goal · xG 0.08N. Merkley · On goal · xG 0.07N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.07N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.05K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hayden · Missed · xG 0.04N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.03P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.03D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mermis · Missed · xG 0.02P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.01M. Mueller · Missed · xG 0.01C. White · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gusev · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.00P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.00J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNJD
3.02 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.71 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH63%37%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNJD
35
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/6
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
14
29
Hits
20
12
Blocked shots
18
10
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011050.28110—24:00
8A. OvechkinL101+130.39310—23:46
19N. BackstromC011020.341205023:30
9D. OrlovD000-110.05210—21:40
77T. OshieR000060.831006721:04
92E. KuznetsovC011+120.101042918:05
6M. KempnyD000010.07142—17:13
3N. JensenD011+110.01010—17:09
43T. WilsonR101+140.37400—16:53
13J. VranaL000030.31000—16:15
20L. EllerC000-100.020006115:04
34J. SiegenthalerD000020.06000—13:51
4B. DillonD000010.01112—13:50
62C. HagelinL000-120.09100—12:32
28B. LeipsicL000000.00010—10:55
21G. HathawayR000010.02900—10:40
26N. DowdC000010.093004310:16
14R. PanikR000-100.00100—08:48
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(L)29263.8972.23-0.7757:25

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).