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New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals

FinalTV MSG+ 2, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Vrana's goal at 6:42 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 80% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were NJD 34, WSH 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 20 of 23 (.870); Ilya Samsonov stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (3 G), 2. Ilya Samsonov (32 saves, .941), 3. Nicklas Backstrom (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin3 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    I. Samsonov32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD09113112234
WSHWSH21511528538

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:17
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:08

2nd period

  1. WSH
    L. Eller (16), R. Panik (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    0:16
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    1:08

3rd period

  1. NJD
    B. Coleman(19)SHG
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    3:34
  2. WSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    6:42
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    15:42

Penalties

NJD 10 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:42WSHTom Wilson · Interferencedrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 13:39NJDTravis Zajac · Trippingdrawn by Michal Kempny2 min
  • 15:12NJDJohn Hayden · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min

2nd

  • 3:16WSHRichard Panik · Hookingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 13:56WSHRichard Panik · Cross checkingdrawn by John Hayden2 min
  • 14:36NJDSami Vatanen · High sticking double minordrawn by Lars Eller4 min

3rd

  • 2:11NJDWill Butcher · Holdingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 8:06WSHNicklas Backstrom · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNJD goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Jakub Vrana, 3rd 6:42 — WSH 80% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.23T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.20A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.19T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.15T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.14G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.14T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.14D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.14C. Hagelin · Goal · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.11N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.09C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.08G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.08J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.08N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.08R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.07C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.06C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.06N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.06D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH5 G · 3.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsWSH
3.12 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.21 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD43%57%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 3.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsWSH
34
Shots on goal
38
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
11
18
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76P. SubbanD000-150.19200—23:30
28D. SeversonD000-130.30210—23:07
6A. GreeneD000010.03040—22:08
45S. VatanenD000-130.14034—20:06
20B. ColemanL101060.44110—18:57
19T. ZajacC011010.110126518:47
37P. ZachaC000-110.123102218:44
13N. HischierC011-210.391203917:59
8W. ButcherD011-110.03022—17:26
86J. HughesC000010.231001716:00
97N. GusevL000-130.10000—15:02
17W. SimmondsR101-120.26200—14:50
5C. CarrickD000010.05300—13:51
63J. BrattL000-110.15000—13:35
44M. WoodL000-120.30100—10:52
90J. BoqvistC000000.00110010:35
15J. HaydenC000010.16022008:03
41M. McLeodC000010.051006006:55
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(L)23203.8702.56-0.4439:49
70L. Domingue15132.8670.97-1.0320:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).