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Wild at Oilers
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸5
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV FS-N+, FS-WI·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-3. The Oilers scored first; the Wild answered. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared Spurgeon's goal at 10:07 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.7 to 1.4; shots on goal were MIN 39, EDM 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.6 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jared Spurgeon (3 G), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 G, 1 A), 3. Kailer Yamamoto (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    K. Yamamoto2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN117212210539
EDMEDM2101808326

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(16)
    K. Yamamoto (10), E. Bear (15)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:50
  2. MIN
    K. Fiala(16)
    R. Suter (33)
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:25
  3. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(17)
    K. Yamamoto (11), L. Draisaitl (62)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:04

2nd period

  1. MIN
    C. Soucy(7)
    M. Zuccarello (19), A. Galchenyuk (13)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:48
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(35)
    M. Benning (7), R. Nugent-Hopkins (31)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    8:01
  3. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(8)
    A. Galchenyuk (14), V. Rask (8)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    10:55

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(9)
    R. Suter (34), Z. Parise (16)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +33 pts
    4-3
    10:07
  2. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(10)EN
    E. Staal (25)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +8 pts
    5-3
    18:22

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

2nd

  • 14:51MINCarson Soucy · Holdingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min

3rd

  • 1:47EDMAdam Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 11:40EDMAlex Chiasson · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 16:11MINJared Spurgeon · Trippingdrawn by Caleb Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMIN goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Jared Spurgeon, 3rd 10:07 — MIN 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.08D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.07K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.05J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.05J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 1.4 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsEDM
3.74 G
All situations
3 G1.4
2.34 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN76%24%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 1.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsEDM
39
Shots on goal
26
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
22
26
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000-120.14270—25:59
20R. SuterD022+230.04000—23:50
24M. DumbaD000-120.11320—23:14
46J. SpurgeonD303+361.11132—21:55
22K. FialaL101+140.47000—19:21
14J. Eriksson EkC000020.203105417:33
17M. FolignoL000-120.21420—17:31
27A. GalchenyukC022+130.226002017:06
12E. StaalC011+120.150203317:04
11Z. PariseL011+220.260007516:43
18J. GreenwayL000-110.11220—16:05
36M. ZuccarelloR011+100.00000—14:33
29G. PaterynD000+200.00120—14:16
9M. KoivuC000030.040006313:38
38R. HartmanR000+140.450203312:01
21C. SoucyD101010.05432—11:27
49V. RaskC011+110.00200008:24
19L. KuninC000-110.18000005:20
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(W)26233.8851.40-1.6060:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).