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Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 12:48 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 1.2; shots on goal were EDM 25, MIN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Alex Stalock stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Eric Staal (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mats Zuccarello (1 A), 3. Alex Stalock (16 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    E. Staal2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    A. Stalock16 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM080908025
MINMIN31201008330

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:33
  2. MIN
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:48
  3. MIN
    B. Hunt(4)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    16:46

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:40EDMOscar Klefbom · Holdingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 17:34MINJason Zucker · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Manning2 min
  • 17:34EDMBrandon Manning · Slashingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

2nd

  • 1:59MINRyan Donato · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Manning2 min

3rd

  • 0:47EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
  • 3:36MINLuke Kunin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:05EDMEthan Bear · Holdingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalEDM goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, 1st 12:48 — MIN 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.27L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.25G. Dumont · On goal · xG 0.20J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.18L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.15M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.14G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.12R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.11G. Dumont · Missed · xG 0.10E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.08E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.07M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.06M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.06E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hunt · Goal · xG 0.04E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.04R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.04J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.00L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMIN
1.20 G
All situations
3 G2.8
0.80 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM21%79%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.18 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMIN
25
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
12
19
Blocked shots
9
3
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD000-130.06022—25:12
74E. BearD000010.03102—21:55
97C. McDavidC000-120.180104221:23
4K. RussellD000-110.02120—21:15
25D. NurseD000-120.05030—21:15
29L. DraisaitlC000-110.010003019:55
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000020.281028618:57
18J. NealL000000.01300—18:50
52P. RussellR000030.09130—15:07
83M. BenningD000-130.04330—13:50
26B. ManningD000010.06022—13:38
44Z. KassianR000-100.00110—13:12
15J. ArchibaldR000-110.09100—12:52
60M. GranlundC000020.210104611:59
16J. KhairaL000-120.05000—11:55
92T. JurcoR000010.0200010011:41
39A. ChiassonR000000.00000—10:28
23R. SheahanC000-100.002105010:21
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)30273.9002.77-0.2360:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).