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Predators at Blackhawks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Chicago Blackhawks
▸2
Final/OTTV FS-TN, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Nashville Predators 2-1 in overtime, Alex DeBrincat scoring at 4:02. The Predators scored first; the Blackhawks answered. The Predators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 4:02 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 5.1 to 4.5; shots on goal were NSH 43, CHI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 3.1 goals saved above expected; Corey Crawford stopped 42 of 43 (.977), 3.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (2 G), 2. Corey Crawford (42 saves, .977), 3. Pekka Rinne (36 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    A. DeBrincat2 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    C. Crawford42 saves, .977
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    P. Rinne36 saves, .947

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH01012001003143
CHICHI0120911611238

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Ekholm(8)
    R. Grimaldi (20), C. Blackwell (4)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    14:56

3rd period

  1. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(15)PPG
    P. Kane (49), D. Keith (16)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +29 pts
    1-1
    9:05

Overtime

  1. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(16)
    D. Keith (17)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    4:02

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·CHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:47NSHMatt Duchene · Slashingdrawn by Alex Nylander2 min
  • 7:56CHISlater Koekkoek · Trippingdrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min
  • 9:14NSHFilip Forsberg · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Brandon Saad0 min
  • 18:07NSHViktor Arvidsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

2nd

  • 12:25CHIDuncan Keith · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Turris2 min
  • 15:27CHISlater Koekkoek · Interferencedrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 16:14CHIDuncan Keith · Hookingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min

3rd

  • 5:56CHISlater Koekkoek · Trippingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 6:27NSHRyan Johansen · Hookingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 7:38NSHFilip Forsberg · Trippingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNSH goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, OT 4:02 — CHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.29B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.29B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.24M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.21P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.19A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.18A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.17A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.16J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.15D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.15D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.14B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.13K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.13D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.12D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.12D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.12D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.12D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.11M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.10K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.09R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.08J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.08D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.07C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.06J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.06D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.05D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.05S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.05D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.04S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.03D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.03S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.03M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 5.1 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCHI
4.51 G
All situations
2 G5.1
3.61 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.90 G
Power play
1 G2.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH42%58%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.43 – 4.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCHI
43
Shots on goal
38
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
32
Hits
29
17
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-140.26220—28:26
4R. EllisD000020.24210—23:33
14M. EkholmD101+110.24000—23:18
8K. TurrisC000020.524201420:00
9F. ForsbergL000030.35122—19:42
64M. GranlundC000050.672208318:40
92R. JohansenC000040.192026518:18
33V. ArvidssonL000-110.01112—17:16
23R. GrimaldiR011+150.36100—16:32
24J. TinordiD000+100.07320—16:12
15C. SmithC000090.924106716:11
95M. DucheneC000-110.091123315:12
5D. HamhuisD000000.00110—14:08
10C. SissonsC000+100.154006013:52
19C. JarnkrokC000020.25000013:41
57D. FabbroD000030.14200—11:45
42C. BlackwellC011+110.03000010:28
51A. WatsonL000000.00220—07:25
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(O)38362.9475.10+3.1064:02

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).