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Blackhawks at Predators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
▸7
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Nashville Predators 7-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Kubalik's goal at 18:04 of the first period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.7 to 1.4; shots on goal were CHI 24, NSH 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 10 of 14 (.714), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Robin Lehner (39 saves, .951), 2. Dominik Kubalik (1 G), 3. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    R. Lehner39 saves, .951
  2. ★★
    CHI
    D. Kubalik1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI292837724
NSHNSH012014215241

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    E. Gustafsson(2)
    J. Toews (6)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:33
  2. CHI
    D. Kubalik(5)
    K. Dach (4)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    18:04

2nd period

  1. CHI
    B. Seabrook(2)
    P. Kane (15), D. Strome (12)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    1:51
  2. CHI
    D. Kampf(4)
    O. Maatta (5), A. Shaw (4)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    11:39

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(6)
    M. Duchene (11), M. Granlund (3)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    3:40
  2. CHI
    P. Kane(10)
    A. DeBrincat (11)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    9:09
  3. CHI
    A. Nylander(3)
    J. Toews (7), B. Saad (4)
    wristxG 0.17
    6-1
    14:02
  4. CHI
    A. Nylander(4)
    B. Saad (5)
    wristxG 0.06
    7-1
    17:28
  5. NSH
    R. Josi(7)
    K. Turris (5), R. Ellis (14)
    slapxG 0.02
    7-2
    18:52

Penalties

CHI 2 PIM·NSH 2 PIM

2nd

  • 15:35NSHMikael Granlund · Holdingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 19:35CHIBrandon Saad · Interferencedrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCHI goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Dominik Kubalik, 1st 18:04 — CHI 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.31R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.30M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.13M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.13V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.12N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.11A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.07N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.06R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.02C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.00M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 2.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNSH
1.47 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.47 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI26%74%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.44 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNSH
24
Shots on goal
41
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
11
Hits
15
19
Blocked shots
7
9
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000+120.09020—21:20
56E. GustafssonD101020.04210—20:30
5C. MurphyD000+110.02030—20:05
44C. de HaanD000+340.12030—19:55
6O. MaattaD011+110.03210—19:24
88P. KaneR112+220.06000—17:51
12A. DeBrincatR011+220.17310—17:39
7B. SeabrookD101+410.08130—17:10
64D. KampfC101010.090003316:35
17D. StromeC011+200.000004516:22
65A. ShawR011000.00010—15:10
8D. KubalikL101+120.30120—14:48
20B. SaadL022+300.0000210014:37
19J. ToewsC022+300.000107914:34
92A. NylanderL202+320.33000—14:05
22R. CarpenterC000010.052003113:35
15Z. SmithC000-130.060104012:50
77K. DachC011000.00000011:50
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(W)41392.9512.75+0.7559:40

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).