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Florida Panthers at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Florida Panthers 5-4. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Kings led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ben Hutton's goal at 12:45 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 54% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were FLA 29, LAK 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.1 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Vilardi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 3 A), 3. Drew Doughty (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    G. Vilardi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA21018111429
LAKLAK213217110540

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:26
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    7:03
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    8:43
  4. LAK
    A. Kempe (16), A. Kopitar (37)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    2-2
    15:12

2nd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    3:19
  2. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    10:18
  3. LAK
    G. Vilardi (1), M. Roy (13)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    18:42

3rd period

  1. FLA
    M. Hoffman(23)PPG
    slapxG 0.16win prob +23 pts
    4-4
    0:36
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +32 pts
    4-5
    12:45

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·LAK 10 PIM

1st

  • 11:02LAKDrew Doughty · Holdingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 14:59FLAMike Hoffman · Interferencedrawn by Trevor Moore2 min
  • 15:59FLARiley Stillman · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
  • 18:33FLAVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 20:00LAKSean Walker · Hookingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

2nd

  • 1:36LAKAdrian Kempe · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 7:27FLAFrank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 19:26LAKDrew Doughty · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 20:00LAKAdrian Kempe · Roughingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min
  • 20:00FLAKeith Yandle · Roughingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

3rd

  • 10:38FLANoel Acciari · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalFLA goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Ben Hutton, 3rd 12:45 — LAK 54% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.26M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.21A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.21D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.21B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.19D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.16M. Frk · Goal · xG 0.15B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.14A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.14T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.13D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.12T. Moore · Goal · xG 0.11D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.10B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.08D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.08A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hutton · Goal · xG 0.07D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.07D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.06M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.06T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.06T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.05D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.05M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.05G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.04M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.00D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK5 G · 3.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsLAK
2.74 G
All situations
5 G3.9
1.92 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.62 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA34%66%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 3.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsLAK
29
Shots on goal
40
35%
Faceoffs
65%
2/4
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
4
7
Giveaways
21
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD022010.06010—25:20
16A. BarkovC202060.512003922:34
52M. WeegarD000+120.04130—22:33
6A. StralmanD000-100.09100—20:30
11J. HuberdeauL134020.25100—19:20
68M. HoffmanC101-130.46122018:53
3K. YandleD000-210.01002—18:06
61R. StillmanD000-100.00012—16:57
55N. AcciariC011+120.201222516:32
63E. DadonovL011-110.02100—16:26
21V. TrocheckC000-100.112025015:03
77F. VatranoR000-150.26202—14:48
7C. SceviourC000030.142106012:55
13M. PysykD000-210.02110—11:17
28A. SaarelaC000000.371002011:04
2J. BrownD000-100.00110—10:36
14D. ToninatoC000-110.006101810:35
10B. ConnollyR000010.13000—09:12
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)40355.8753.85-1.1559:06

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).