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Los Angeles Kings at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, FS-W·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Vatrano's goal at 3:06 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 70% to 84%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.3, FLA 2.3; shots on goal were LAK 30, FLA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.7 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brian Boyle (1 G), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 2 A), 3. Frank Vatrano (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Boyle1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    F. Vatrano1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0907314330
FLAFLA191829426

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    E. Dadonov(20)PPG
    snapxG 0.19win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    6:04

2nd period

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:06

3rd period

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.02win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    4:55
  2. FLA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.25win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    7:06
  3. LAK
    backhandxG 0.03
    1-4
    11:42
  4. LAK
    J. Carter(14)PPG
    A. Kempe (10), A. Kopitar (26)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    15:08
  5. LAK
    A. Kopitar(17)PPG
    slapxG 0.37win prob +6 pts
    3-4
    17:20

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:23LAKAustin Wagner · Holdingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min
  • 19:21FLADominic Toninato · Hookingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

2nd

  • 4:52FLABrett Connolly · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:31LAKBen Hutton · Slashingdrawn by Colton Sceviour2 min

3rd

  • 2:57LAKMatt Roy · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 14:10FLABrian Boyle · Hookingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 16:08FLAJoshua Brown · Holdingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalLAK goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Frank Vatrano, 2nd 3:06 — FLA 70% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boyle · Goal · xG 0.25B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.23E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.19D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.18F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.17J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.11N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.10D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Stillman · Missed · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 2.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsFLA
2.33 G
All situations
4 G2.3
1.11 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.02 G
Power play
2 G0.5
1.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK49%51%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsFLA
30
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
2/4
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011020.06020—28:02
27A. MartinezD000010.02130—26:28
11A. KopitarC123+130.630007121:49
77J. CarterC101030.052005320:46
26S. WalkerD000020.06110—18:25
73T. ToffoliC000+130.06110018:12
19A. IafalloL101+130.23020—16:46
23D. BrownR011010.30110—16:33
9A. KempeR011-110.09000—16:32
24D. ForbortD000010.02310—14:43
13K. CliffordL000010.06410—14:33
74N. ProkhorkinL011-140.390003313:54
3M. RoyD000-120.06212—13:49
15B. HuttonD000-100.02002—12:18
22T. LewisC000-100.01100011:14
51A. WagnerL000-120.12102—11:04
28J. Anderson-DolanC000-100.00000011:01
10M. AmadioR000-110.090102010:50
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)26224.8462.28-1.7258:16

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).