Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Winnipeg Jets beat the Ottawa Senators 5-1. The Senators scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 4:52 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 34, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Marcus Hogberg stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (3 G, 1 A), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A), 3. Patrik Laine (2 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Scheifele3 G, 1 A

- ★★K. Connor1 G, 1 A

- ★★★P. Laine2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-111:50
1-116:35
2-117:46
2nd period
3-14:52
4-15:54
3rd period
5-118:27
Penalties
1st
- 15:32
Chris Tierney · Hookingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
- 16:57
Jayce Hawryluk · High stickingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
- 17:51
Drake Batherson · Fightingdrawn by Jansen Harkins5 min
- 17:51
Jansen Harkins · Fightingdrawn by Drake Batherson5 min
- 18:00
Josh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Jayce Hawryluk2 min
2nd
- 10:41
Neal Pionk · Hookingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
- 17:43
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · Interferencedrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
3rd
- 0:54
Dmitry Kulikov · Holdingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
- 6:15
Anthony Duclair · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
- 6:27
Patrik Laine · Trippingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
- 11:23
served by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 11:23
Scott Sabourin · Misconduct10 min
- 17:28
Brady Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min
- 17:28
Brady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Tucker Poolman2 min
- 17:28
Brady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Tucker Poolman2 min
- 17:28
Tucker Poolman · Misconduct10 min
- 17:28
Tucker Poolman · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
- 17:28
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · Misconductdrawn by Mason Appleton10 min
- 17:28
Mason Appleton · Misconductdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 4:52 — 64% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.35 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.2
- 2.12 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.2
- 1.23 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 2.21
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 3/6
- Power play
- 0/4
- 35
- Penalty minutes
- 49
- 18
- Hits
- 27
- 26
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 16
- Giveaways
- 14
- 9
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
WPG leads 2-0
2@
5Final
5@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
