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Senators at Jets
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV NHLN, CBC·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 7:49 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were OTT 27, WPG 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.0 goals below expected; Laurent Brossoit stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrik Laine (3 G), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G, 3 A), 3. Neal Pionk (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Laine3 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Pionk1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0102908227
WPGWPG111311112534

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    N. Pionk(6)
    M. Appleton (2), K. Connor (28)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:48

2nd period

  1. OTT
    J. Pageau(21)
    B. Tkachuk (15)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    0:25
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(26)
    N. Ehlers (24), A. Bitetto (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    7:49
  3. WPG
    P. Laine(21)PPG
    K. Connor (29), N. Pionk (29)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    17:04
  4. OTT
    M. Boedker(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    18:29
  5. WPG
    P. Laine(22)PPG
    N. Pionk (30), B. Wheeler (31)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    19:48

3rd period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(23)PPG
    B. Wheeler (32), K. Connor (30)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    8:43

Penalties

OTT 18 PIM·WPG 16 PIM

1st

  • 2:15OTTNick Paul · Fightingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu5 min
  • 2:15WPGNathan Beaulieu · Fightingdrawn by Nick Paul5 min
  • 2:47OTTThomas Chabot · Holdingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 11:22WPGPatrik Laine · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Craig Anderson2 min
  • 14:10OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Blake Wheeler5 min
  • 14:10WPGBlake Wheeler · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min

2nd

  • 5:37WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Trippingdrawn by Cody Goloubef2 min
  • 14:17WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Trippingdrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 16:43OTTMike Reilly · Hookingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 19:00OTTThomas Chabot · Hookingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

3rd

  • 7:48OTTDylan DeMelo · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalOTT goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 7:49 — WPG 52% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.93N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.66P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.37L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.28P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.25M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.18M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.17P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.14N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.14N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.13K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.05M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.04N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.01S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 4.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsWPG
2.62 G
All situations
5 G4.4
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.40 G
Power play
3 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT46%54%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsWPG
27
Shots on goal
34
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
3/4
18
Penalty minutes
16
23
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-110.08004—21:03
22N. ZaitsevD000+110.01120—20:35
5M. ReillyD000030.08002—20:26
81R. HainseyD000010.03040—19:21
19D. BathersonR000-110.06400—17:40
2D. DeMeloD000030.03302—17:23
44J. PageauC101-120.271006317:21
7B. TkachukL011-160.753053317:06
90V. NamestnikovC000000.01100016:19
29C. GoloubefD000000.02200—16:19
10A. DuclairL000020.11100—15:54
28C. BrownR000000.0910010015:43
36C. WhiteC000+110.120105015:39
71C. TierneyC000000.081106015:28
51A. AnisimovC000010.090102014:56
63T. EnnisR000+120.35200—14:19
13N. PaulL000000.041158610:46
89M. BoedkerL101+130.38200—09:54
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)22184.8183.03-0.9739:44
35M. Hogberg12111.9171.38+0.3820:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).