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Ducks at Flames
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
4
Calgary Flames
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, PRIME·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-4. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 12:59 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 5.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were ANA 30, CGY 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 37 of 42 (.881), 0.8 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrew Mangiapane (3 G, 1 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mikael Backlund (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA010210210430
CGYCGY012118513643

Scoring

10 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(21)
    T. Terry (10), N. Ritchie (9)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    5:53
  2. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(11)
    N. Hanifin (13), M. Tkachuk (30)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    6:46
  3. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(18)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.23win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    10:37

3rd period

  1. ANA
    N. Deslauriers(3)
    C. Rowney (8)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    3:05
  2. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(12)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    4:46
  3. CGY
    S. Bennett(8)
    M. Stone (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    5:05
  4. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(20)
    A. Mangiapane (12), M. Backlund (22)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +35 pts
    3-4
    12:59
  5. CGY
    S. Monahan(18)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +10 pts
    3-5
    14:03
  6. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(13)EN
    J. Gaudreau (36)
    wristxG 0.91
    3-6
    19:03
  7. ANA
    D. Shore(3)
    J. Larsson (6), J. Silfverberg (16)
    tip-inxG 0.05
    4-6
    19:56

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:33ANABrendan Guhle · Trippingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
  • 14:51CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Interferencedrawn by Korbinian Holzer2 min

2nd

  • 12:44ANANick Ritchie · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 18:30ANANicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

3rd

  • 1:00CGYMilan Lucic · Holdingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 14:26ANASam Steel · High stickingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalANA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 3rd 12:59 — CGY 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.91M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.23A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.21S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.19E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.19M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.14M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Rinaldo · On goal · xG 0.10E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Rinaldo · On goal · xG 0.07T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.02T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Yelesin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY6 G · 5.1 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCGY
2.24 G
All situations
5 G5.1
1.84 G
Even strength
5 G3.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA21%79%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 4.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCGY
30
Shots on goal
43
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
20
10
Blocked shots
3
12
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD000-130.17110—26:08
42J. MansonD000-120.02200—23:49
4C. FowlerD000-220.06000—20:15
15R. GetzlafC000-300.003206418:48
37N. RitchieL011020.16002—17:15
33J. SilfverbergR112+120.29110—16:32
38D. GrantC000-110.080106116:30
67R. RakellR000-310.05020—16:20
61T. TerryR011-130.26000—16:12
14A. HenriqueC101-140.491002916:04
5K. HolzerD000+100.00010—15:35
2B. GuhleD000-110.02022—15:30
32J. LarssonD011+120.11000—14:22
24C. RowneyC011000.0010010014:16
49M. JonesL000-220.19100—14:15
34S. SteelC000+100.000023012:41
29D. ShoreC101+140.242005010:02
20N. DeslauriersL101010.02102—08:34
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(L)42375.8814.17-0.8358:52

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).