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Stars at Senators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
3
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Final/OTTV FS-SW, TVAS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Dallas Stars 4-3 in overtime, Artem Anisimov scoring at 3:48. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artem Anisimov's goal at 3:48 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were DAL 39, OTT 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 42 of 46 (.913); Craig Anderson stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G, 1 A), 3. Craig Anderson (36 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    J. Pageau1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Anderson36 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL21201111501339
OTTOTT21901411112446

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Klingberg(4)
    J. Benn (14), J. Dickinson (10)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:03
  2. OTT
    J. Pageau(22)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (17), T. Chabot (28)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    7:36
  3. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(18)
    A. Duclair (14), J. Pageau (14)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:10
  4. DAL
    S. Johns(2)
    M. Heiskanen (23), T. Seguin (31)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    18:43

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Ennis(14)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +31 pts
    2-3
    9:59
  2. DAL
    J. Pavelski(13)
    T. Seguin (32), M. Heiskanen (24)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +36 pts
    3-3
    14:49

Overtime

  1. OTT
    A. Anisimov(11)
    B. Tkachuk (18)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    3:48

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:43DALJamie Benn · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Craig Anderson2 min

2nd

  • 0:45DALCorey Perry · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 0:45OTTBrady Tkachuk · Embellishmentdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

3rd

  • 0:39DALAnton Khudobin · Interferencedrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalDAL goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Artem Anisimov, OT 3:48 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.43A. Anisimov · Goal · xG 0.24A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.22V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.20J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.19T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.17T. Ennis · Goal · xG 0.17C. White · On goal · xG 0.17C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.16B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.15A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.07T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.07N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.06C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Sabourin · On goal · xG 0.06C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.05D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01C. Goloubef · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Goloubef · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.01C. Goloubef · Missed · xG 0.00C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.00C. Goloubef · On goal · xG 0.00A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.00C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.00C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 3.7 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsOTT
2.13 G
All situations
4 G3.7
2.13 G
Even strength
3 G3.2
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL25%75%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 3.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsOTT
39
Shots on goal
46
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/0
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
2
20
Hits
29
13
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD022+130.08010—24:40
28S. JohnsD101050.13020—23:25
3J. KlingbergD101070.26010—22:57
91T. SeguinC022+240.261106520:43
23E. LindellD000+100.00120—19:02
2J. OleksiakD000-110.21200—18:48
13M. JanmarkC000000.000105017:03
24R. HintzC000040.140006716:42
12R. FaksaC000-130.270103815:57
10C. PerryR000+120.36412—15:39
16J. PavelskiC101040.131004015:07
45R. PolakD000000.01420—14:56
15B. ComeauL000-120.01000—14:53
34D. GurianovR000-110.03300—14:24
18J. DickinsonC011+120.160005014:22
14J. BennL011+100.0031210013:49
11A. CoglianoC000-100.0610010013:02
21J. RobertsonL000010.01000—11:02
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(O)46424.9133.66-0.3463:48

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).