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Senators at Stars
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Dallas Stars
▸2
FinalTV FS-SW, TSN5·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Radek Faksa's goal at 18:58 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.9 to 1.1; shots on goal were OTT 20, DAL 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 19 of 20 (.950). Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (1 A), 2. Anton Khudobin (19 saves, .950), 3. Anders Nilsson (41 saves, .953).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin19 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    A. Nilsson41 saves, .953

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0100317120
DALDAL117111015243

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Faksa(2)
    T. Fedun (3), M. Janmark (4)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:58

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(2)PPG
    J. Benn (4), T. Seguin (4)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:44

3rd period

  1. OTT
    V. Namestnikov(4)
    C. Brown (6), T. Chabot (4)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    1-2
    18:47

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:43OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 13:30DALAndrej Sekera · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 8:43OTTVladislav Namestnikov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:15OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Interferencedrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 14:15OTTDylan DeMelo · Slashingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 18:33DALAndrew Cogliano · Holdingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min

3rd

  • 7:19OTTBrady Tkachuk · Cross checkingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalOTT goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Radek Faksa, 1st 18:58 — DAL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.40J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.18A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.17A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.16R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.16T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.13J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.13M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.13A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.12E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.11D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.10E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.10A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.09J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.08J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.07J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.05D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.04R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.03T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.03T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.00J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 3.9 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsDAL
1.11 G
All situations
2 G3.9
0.81 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT9%91%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.12 – 3.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsDAL
20
Shots on goal
43
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
11
18
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011010.07232—26:12
22N. ZaitsevD000000.00030—23:20
28C. BrownR011+110.12000—20:10
7B. TkachukL000040.195226719:32
81R. HainseyD000000.00020—18:37
90V. NamestnikovC101010.06022018:29
71C. TierneyC000-110.010105018:19
44J. PageauC000+110.082124418:00
2D. DeMeloD000020.05212—17:54
36C. WhiteC000030.050007517:08
74M. BorowieckiD000000.00110—16:46
26E. BrannstromD000010.02010—13:22
9B. RyanR000010.06100—13:13
51A. AnisimovC000+120.080003613:05
63T. EnnisR000000.02000—12:14
13N. PaulL000000.000005009:27
10A. DuclairL000-110.30000—09:09
89M. BoedkerL000010.01010—07:42
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(L)43412.9533.95+1.9557:52

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).