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Red Wings at Penguins
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NBC, SN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patric Hornqvist's goal at 2:53 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals were close — DET 2.3, PIT 2.1; shots on goal were DET 28, PIT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 18 of 19 (.947); Matt Murray stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patric Hornqvist (2 G, 1 A), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrew Agozzino (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    P. Hornqvist2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    A. Agozzino1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET1150706128
PITPIT29316010535

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    5:37
  2. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    7:58
  3. PIT
    K. Letang(14)PPG
    snapxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    1-2
    14:35

2nd period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:53
  2. PIT
    slapxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    7:55
  3. PIT
    B. Tanev (14), T. Blueger (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    11:53

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·PIT 0 PIM

1st

  • 13:54DETJustin Abdelkader · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Agozzino2 min

3rd

  • 15:37DETDylan Larkin · Roughingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDET goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Patric Hornqvist, 2nd 2:53 — PIT 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Lafferty · Goal · xG 0.22J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.17P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.11S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.10K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.09J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09A. Agozzino · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.06E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.06S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.06B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02A. Agozzino · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.02J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.01J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.01J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 2.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPIT
2.31 G
All situations
5 G2.1
2.31 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET54%46%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPIT
28
Shots on goal
35
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/0
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
34
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
5
8
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74M. BoweyD000-220.03220—24:38
22P. NemethD000000.00210—22:41
3A. BiegaD000010.06840—21:53
25M. GreenD000-100.00110—21:45
71D. LarkinC000-170.661123119:09
28G. LindstromD000-310.00300—18:41
14R. FabbriC000-120.17000017:39
39A. ManthaR000-130.46100—17:23
51V. FilppulaC101+110.180103817:17
59T. BertuzziL011+130.23300—16:35
72A. AthanasiouC000+130.190005016:07
43D. HelmC000000.00000015:29
41L. GlendeningC000-130.142007514:39
81F. NielsenC000010.062006413:35
70C. EhnC000-300.000005010:56
17F. HronekD000000.00100—10:22
8J. AbdelkaderL000-300.0060210009:24
29B. PerliniL000-210.12200—09:06
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier19181.9471.10+0.1032:05
35J. Howard(L)16124.7501.05-2.9527:55

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).