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Penguins at Red Wings
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings

Final/OTTV NHLN, ATTSN-PT·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1 in overtime, Sidney Crosby scoring at 1:33. The Red Wings scored first; the Penguins answered. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sidney Crosby's goal at 1:33 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were PIT 37, DET 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Murray (28 saves, .966), 2. Jimmy Howard (35 saves, .946), 3. Bryan Rust (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    M. Murray28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Howard35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT0110711514237
DETDET0911001000129

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    F. Zadina(6)PPG
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    3:29

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(20)PPG
    E. Malkin (33), K. Letang (20)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    3:36

Overtime

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(8)PPG
    E. Malkin (34), B. Rust (22)
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    1:33

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:31DETFrans Nielsen · Slashingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
  • 6:36PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 11:14DETDarren Helm · Trippingdrawn by John Marino2 min

2nd

  • 1:59PITZachary Aston-Reese · Holdingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min
  • 9:35PITMarcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

3rd

  • 3:07DETDarren Helm · Trippingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 8:05PITMarcus Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

OT

  • 1:12DETLuke Glendening · Interferencedrawn by Jared McCann2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPIT goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Sidney Crosby, OT 1:33 — PIT 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.20F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.14F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.12G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11F. Zadina · Goal · xG 0.09M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.08F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.07J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.07T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.07F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.06G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.05T. Daley · Missed · xG 0.04G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.03A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.02T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.02A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.02M. Green · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01
DET1 G · 1.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsDET
2.92 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.10 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
0.82 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT69%31%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsDET
37
Shots on goal
29
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
33
6
Blocked shots
19
6
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011050.34220—28:36
3J. JohnsonD000010.01200—21:39
6J. MarinoD000010.02100—21:16
87S. CrosbyC101030.401026420:55
28M. PetterssonD000000.02224—20:17
71E. MalkinC022060.420004319:58
17B. RustR112030.48100—19:57
19J. McCannL000010.09100—16:51
12D. SimonC000010.12000016:28
24D. KahunC000040.3400010015:55
53T. BluegerC000030.021004215:07
2C. RuhwedelD000030.03100—13:48
50J. RiikolaD000000.00100—13:32
72P. HornqvistR000030.41300—13:25
13B. TanevL000000.00210—13:05
46Z. Aston-ReeseL000030.17112—12:48
18A. GalchenyukC000000.00200008:57
26A. AgozzinoL000000.001006705:46
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)29281.9661.86+0.8660:43

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).