Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1 in overtime, Sidney Crosby scoring at 1:33. The Red Wings scored first; the Penguins answered. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sidney Crosby's goal at 1:33 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were PIT 37, DET 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Murray (28 saves, .966), 2. Jimmy Howard (35 saves, .946), 3. Bryan Rust (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goalsPenalties
1st
- 6:31
Frans Nielsen · Slashingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
- 6:36
Sidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
- 11:14
Darren Helm · Trippingdrawn by John Marino2 min
2nd
- 1:59
Zachary Aston-Reese · Holdingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min
- 9:35
Marcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
3rd
- 3:07
Darren Helm · Trippingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
- 8:05
Marcus Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
OT
- 1:12
Luke Glendening · Interferencedrawn by Jared McCann2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sidney Crosby, OT 1:33 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.92 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.9
- 2.10 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.1
- 0.82 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 1.85
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 22
- Hits
- 33
- 6
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 6
- Giveaways
- 15
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
