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Stars at Maple Leafs
NHL

Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸3
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
FinalTV FS-SW, TVAS·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Radek Faksa's goal at 0:24 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were DAL 19, TOR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Radek Faksa (1 G), 2. Tyler Seguin (1 G), 3. Auston Matthews (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Faksa1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1611013319
TORTOR03114114231

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    D. Gurianov(17)
    J. Klingberg (21)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:20

2nd period

  1. DAL
    R. Faksa(10)
    B. Comeau (8), A. Cogliano (10)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    0:24
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(41)PPG
    W. Nylander (25), T. Barrie (28)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    11:21

3rd period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(12)PPG
    M. Janmark (14), J. Robertson (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    1:21
  2. TOR
    Z. Hyman(17)
    J. Tavares (27), M. Marner (44)
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +6 pts
    3-2
    18:41

Penalties

DAL 9 PIM·TOR 13 PIM

2nd

  • 0:58TORJustin Holl · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 3:18TORserved by J. Tavares · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 5:55DALJamie Oleksiak · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Clifford5 min
  • 5:55TORKyle Clifford · Fightingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak5 min
  • 10:14DALCorey Perry · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 17:07TORMitch Marner · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 17:27DALMiro Heiskanen · Holdingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

3rd

  • 1:11TORJohn Tavares · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalDAL goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Radek Faksa, 2nd 0:24 — DAL 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.41Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.27W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.20A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.18M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.15J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.15M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.14J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.14M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.14T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.14W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.12W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.10W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.10T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.06T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.02P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.02K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.01T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 4.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsTOR
1.83 G
All situations
2 G4.2
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.41 G
Power play
1 G1.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL16%84%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 4.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsTOR
19
Shots on goal
31
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
27
Hits
12
18
Blocked shots
4
15
Giveaways
9
12
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-120.10002—23:11
23E. LindellD000+210.06130—22:28
12R. FaksaC101+110.233005020:25
3J. KlingbergD011+220.08040—19:47
15B. ComeauL011+100.0351010019:28
28S. JohnsD000-110.13300—19:26
45R. PolakD000020.07230—18:25
91T. SeguinC101-110.081005617:45
18J. DickinsonC000020.16010016:27
10C. PerryR000010.09132—15:44
13M. JanmarkC011010.090003315:17
34D. GurianovR101+130.46100—15:05
24R. HintzC000000.0511010014:28
11A. CoglianoC011+110.14000013:51
14J. BennL000000.002003313:38
21J. RobertsonL011000.00100—12:18
2J. OleksiakD000010.03425—12:08
25J. KivirantaL000000.00200—07:02
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(W)31292.9354.22+2.2260:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).