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Sabres at Rangers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
New York Rangers
2
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG-B·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 15:16 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 69% to 86%. Expected goals were close — BUF 3.3, NYR 3.3; shots on goal were BUF 28, NYR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hutton (37 saves, .949), 2. Jack Eichel (2 A), 3. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    C. Hutton37 saves, .949
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Eichel2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF1611616328
NYRNYR06010223239

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    Z. Girgensons(10)
    C. Miller (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:26

2nd period

  1. BUF
    S. Reinhart(20)
    J. Eichel (36), J. Vesey (9)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    15:16

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Vesey(8)
    J. Eichel (37)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    3-0
    11:56
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(22)
    A. Panarin (45), M. Staal (6)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    3-1
    17:07
  3. NYR
    C. Kreider(20)PPG
    K. Kakko (11), M. Zibanejad (25)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    3-2
    18:20

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

2nd

  • 10:21NYRArtemi Panarin · Holdingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min

3rd

  • 3:18BUFHenri Jokiharju · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 18:02BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Hookingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalBUF goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 2nd 15:16 — BUF 69% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.24G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.24M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.20M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.18R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.15M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.14G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.13A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.13F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.12C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.12B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.10G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.10B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.08F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.06B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.04P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 3.3 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYR
3.33 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.63 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF30%70%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 3.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYR
28
Shots on goal
39
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
25
18
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000+100.01412—24:19
62B. MontourD000+140.18130—22:55
9J. EichelC022+310.800104021:29
10H. JokiharjuD000+100.58212—21:04
19J. McCabeD000+100.00120—20:16
23S. ReinhartC101+240.60020019:36
22J. LarssonL000020.043105317:52
28Z. GirgensonsC101+140.21410017:26
33C. MillerD011010.01000—16:29
13J. VeseyL112+240.27300—15:32
26R. DahlinD000020.23030—15:18
90M. JohanssonL000-100.000102515:15
67M. FrolikR000010.01010—13:19
20S. WilsonC000+120.09200012:45
43C. ShearyL000000.09010—12:16
27C. LazarC000-100.003006211:45
53J. SkinnerL000020.14000—10:20
71E. RodriguesC000-110.09200009:44
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(W)39372.9493.30+1.3060:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).