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Sabres at Rangers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
New York Rangers
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG-B·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Howden's goal at 14:32 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were BUF 33, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 18 of 24 (.750), 3.4 goals below expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Strome (2 G), 2. Brett Howden (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tony DeAngelo (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    R. Strome2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    B. Howden1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    T. DeAngelo1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF07215011233
NYRNYR31014210624

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin(5)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:41
  2. NYR
    B. Howden(2)
    J. Fast (3), B. Lemieux (2)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:32
  3. NYR
    R. Strome(1)
    B. Skjei (3), T. DeAngelo (2)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    19:22

2nd period

  1. BUF
    M. Scandella(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    4:17
  2. NYR
    T. DeAngelo(4)
    P. Buchnevich (5), B. Skjei (4)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    13:20
  3. BUF
    V. Sobotka(1)
    K. Okposo (4), M. Johansson (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    19:11

3rd period

  1. NYR
    R. Strome(2)
    B. Howden (1)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    2-5
    7:57
  2. NYR
    C. Kreider(1)
    A. Fox (1)
    wristxG 0.06
    2-6
    18:44

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:54BUFserved by C. Sheary · Too many men on the icedrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 15:33NYRChris Kreider · Hookingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min

2nd

  • 14:42NYRLias Andersson · High stickingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min

3rd

  • 1:06BUFJeff Skinner · Trippingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
  • 5:00BUFJeff Skinner · High stickingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 5:00BUFJeff Skinner · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 6:08NYRChris Kreider · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Carter Hutton2 min
  • 15:51NYRTony DeAngelo · Slashingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalBUF goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Brett Howden, 1st 14:32 — NYR 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.26J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.20K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.18B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.18A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.17R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.14T. DeAngelo · Goal · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.13R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.12G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.07C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.06A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.06C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR6 G · 2.6 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYR
2.92 G
All situations
6 G2.6
1.62 G
Even strength
6 G2.1
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF53%47%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYR
33
Shots on goal
24
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
34
5
Blocked shots
22
13
Giveaways
17
13
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-110.01610—24:59
19J. McCabeD000-120.10410—24:49
9J. EichelC000-140.311005622:54
26R. DahlinD000-330.22200—22:14
23S. ReinhartC000-120.63100022:04
33C. MillerD000-220.10110—19:01
53J. SkinnerL000-300.2610610017:18
68V. OlofssonL000+130.10010—17:10
10H. JokiharjuD000-210.00110—16:44
90M. JohanssonL011-100.111006016:00
17V. SobotkaC101-140.2430010015:39
37C. MittelstadtC000-110.021006714:03
43C. ShearyL000-130.45000—13:57
22J. LarssonL000-100.004003812:24
28Z. GirgensonsC000-120.02000010:51
21K. OkposoR011020.03100—08:35
6M. ScandellaD101+120.21100—08:03
13J. VeseyL000-110.10000—06:08
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(L)24186.7502.64-3.3659:07

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).