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Jets at Hurricanes
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV FS-CR, TSN3·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Teuvo Teravainen's goal at 18:22 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were WPG 17, CAR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 29 (.862); Petr Mrazek stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Justin Williams (2 G), 2. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 2 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Williams2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG170703117
CARCAR3805116429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(12)
    R. Dzingel (19), H. Fleury (4)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:28
  2. CAR
    J. Williams(1)PPG
    T. Teravainen (37), J. Slavin (19)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    5:30
  3. WPG
    P. Laine(17)
    M. Scheifele (31), K. Connor (24)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    6:26
  4. CAR
    T. Teravainen(10)
    S. Aho (18), A. Svechnikov (25)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    18:22

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Williams(2)
    A. Svechnikov (26), T. Teravainen (38)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    9:13

Penalties

WPG 21 PIM·CAR 17 PIM

1st

  • 5:00WPGSami Niku · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 14:43CARWarren Foegele · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 6:11CARRyan Dzingel · Interferencedrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 8:09WPGMathieu Perreault · Trippingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 15:13WPGDmitry Kulikov · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min
  • 19:43CARJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

3rd

  • 7:10WPGMason Appleton · Interferencedrawn by Justin Williams2 min
  • 10:06CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 10:06WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 11:40WPGAndrew Copp · Hookingdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min
  • 17:20CARBrett Pesce · Fightingdrawn by Mark Scheifele5 min
  • 17:20WPGMark Scheifele · Fightingdrawn by Brett Pesce5 min
  • 17:20CARPetr Mrazek · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 17:20WPGMark Scheifele · Interferencedrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 18:14CARJaccob Slavin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:56WPGNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalWPG goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Teuvo Teravainen, 1st 18:22 — CAR 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.48J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.40W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.24J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.24M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.21T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.20T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.18W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.16J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.14J. Williams · Goal · xG 0.14R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.12J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.12J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.12T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09J. Williams · Goal · xG 0.09B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.05J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.04H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.03J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 4.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCAR
2.31 G
All situations
4 G4.8
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG26%74%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 3.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCAR
17
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/4
Power play
1/5
21
Penalty minutes
17
26
Hits
9
8
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
81K. ConnorL011-100.13000—26:19
4N. PionkD000-210.02012—24:25
44J. MorrisseyD000000.00110—23:24
29P. LaineL101060.62300—23:09
55M. ScheifeleC011-110.141093821:41
5L. SbisaD000-100.04410—19:17
26B. WheelerR000020.210103319:12
27N. EhlersL000010.19200—18:24
28J. RoslovicC000020.77300018:13
9A. CoppC000-110.052026017:18
7D. KulikovD000000.05412—16:47
2A. BitettoD000-100.01200—14:25
82M. AppletonC000-210.01112011:34
85M. PerreaultC000000.00002010:51
21N. ShoreC000000.001106710:47
8S. NikuD000020.07112—10:32
58J. HarkinsC000-100.00000003:24
57G. BourqueL000000.01100—03:20
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)29254.8623.90-0.1056:24

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).