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Hurricanes at Jets
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets

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Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
Winnipeg Jets
3
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-CR·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 13:10 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals were close — CAR 3.4, WPG 3.4; shots on goal were CAR 28, WPG 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Staal (2 G), 3. Nino Niederreiter (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Staal2 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    N. Niederreiter2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11141215628
WPGWPG11319111333

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    L. Wallmark(5)PPG
    N. Niederreiter (10), R. Dzingel (13)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    18:23
  2. WPG
    J. Roslovic(7)
    N. Ehlers (12), B. Wheeler (18)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    19:52

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(19)
    T. Teravainen (27), J. Slavin (15)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    8:39
  2. WPG
    P. Laine(11)
    N. Beaulieu (3)
    deflectedxG 0.21win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    12:18
  3. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(14)
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    13:10
  4. CAR
    S. Aho(20)
    N. Niederreiter (11), D. Hamilton (20)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    16:46
  5. CAR
    J. Staal(4)PPG
    S. Aho (13), D. Hamilton (21)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +6 pts
    5-2
    18:43

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(5)
    D. Hamilton (22), W. Foegele (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    6-2
    3:16
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(16)PPG
    B. Wheeler (19), N. Pionk (17)
    wristxG 0.08
    6-3
    12:02

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:44CARJake Gardiner · Holdingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 17:25WPGJosh Morrissey · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 17:52WPGAnthony Bitetto · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min

3rd

  • 11:09CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCAR goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 2nd 13:10 — CAR 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.30M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.26P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.21A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.20P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.19P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.18A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.14N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.14N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.05N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.03A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.02J. Luoto · On goal · xG 0.02N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.00J. Luoto · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 3.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsWPG
3.46 G
All situations
3 G3.4
2.04 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.72 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR43%57%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 3.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsWPG
28
Shots on goal
33
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
20
10
Blocked shots
18
9
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19D. HamiltonD033+320.12000—23:16
74J. SlavinD011+320.04020—22:26
22B. PesceD000-100.05020—22:01
6J. EdmundsonD000-110.02120—20:34
86T. TeravainenC011+210.25000019:55
11J. StaalC202+2101.670005819:14
20S. AhoC213+230.391025616:40
71L. WallmarkC101-110.170005315:59
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.00000—15:13
51J. GardinerD000010.01212—15:11
37A. SvechnikovR101+220.17000—14:56
18R. DzingelC011-100.10010014:51
88M. NecasC000-110.19100013:48
23B. McGinnL000-110.08110—13:40
13W. FoegeleL011+200.00100—13:38
21N. NiederreiterR022+230.08000—13:20
48J. MartinookL000-100.042106313:04
29B. GibbonsC000-100.00200009:16
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(W)33303.9093.37+0.3760:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).