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Penguins at Avalanche
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Colorado Avalanche
3
Final/OTTV ESPN+, ATTSN-PT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-3 in overtime, Jared McCann scoring at 3:19. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared McCann's goal at 3:19 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were PIT 30, COL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Pavel Francouz stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jared McCann (1 G), 3. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. McCann1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT0711121012430
COLCOL191711500331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(27)PPG
    S. Girard (23), G. Landeskog (8)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    14:38

2nd period

  1. PIT
    T. Blueger(6)
    D. Kahun (14), J. Marino (17)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    13:29
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(11)
    S. Girard (24)
    wristxG 0.00win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:20

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(18)
    E. Malkin (29), D. Kahun (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    1:14
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(13)
    D. Kahun (16), B. Rust (19)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +40 pts
    3-2
    15:43
  3. COL
    M. Calvert(11)
    C. Makar (24), A. Burakovsky (15)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +46 pts
    3-3
    19:29

Overtime

  1. PIT
    J. McCann(12)
    T. Blueger (10), J. Marino (18)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:19

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:09PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

2nd

  • 6:06COLIan Cole · High stickingdrawn by Andrew Agozzino2 min
  • 11:23COLErik Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

3rd

  • 5:03PITPatric Hornqvist · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 16:57PITBryan Rust · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalPIT goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Jared McCann, OT 3:19 — PIT 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.21N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.20N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.16M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.15G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.13C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.13E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.11E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.09M. Calvert · Goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.00P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsCOL
2.04 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.84 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT39%61%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsCOL
30
Shots on goal
31
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
21
15
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
7
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000+240.09300—24:37
6J. MarinoD022020.19110—23:57
28M. PetterssonD000-120.03220—23:42
3J. JohnsonD000+220.03110—20:39
53T. BluegerC112050.383106720:16
71E. MalkinC112+230.060121319:37
17B. RustR112+130.26112—19:26
24D. KahunC033+330.16000018:16
13B. TanevL000-210.09310—16:03
19J. McCannL101+110.130103715:48
46Z. Aston-ReeseL000-120.31510—15:23
72P. HornqvistR000000.00002—14:42
2C. RuhwedelD000000.00100—14:35
50J. RiikolaD000000.00420—13:25
12D. SimonC000020.09000012:53
18A. GalchenyukC000+100.06000011:15
37S. LaffertyC000000.0001010010:43
26A. AgozzinoL000000.124206709:43
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)31283.9032.57-0.4363:19

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).