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Avalanche at Penguins
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins

Final/OTTV NBCSN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 in overtime, Brandon Tanev scoring at 3:57. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Tanev's goal at 3:57 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 28, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Matt Murray stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Brandon Tanev (1 G), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    B. Tanev1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL170911101228
PITPIT1121901011332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Nieto (2), I. Cole (1)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:16
  2. PIT
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    17:22

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.18win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    15:30

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.24win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    2:56

Overtime

  1. PIT
    B. Tanev(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    3:57

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:09COLTyson Jost · Trippingdrawn by Joseph Blandisi2 min
  • 8:51COLIan Cole · Holding the stickdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 15:45COLIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 16:55PITDominik Kahun · Slashingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

2nd

  • 11:36PITSam Lafferty · Trippingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min

OT

  • 2:38PITBrian Dumoulin · Slashingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalCOL goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Tanev, OT 3:57 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.22J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.18B. Tanev · Goal · xG 0.16P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.15D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.14P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.11K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.10D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.09D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.08D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.07T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.05S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.03D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lafferty · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsPIT
2.22 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL43%57%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsPIT
28
Shots on goal
32
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
42
Hits
39
13
Blocked shots
17
2
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000+120.28210—23:53
49S. GirardD000-110.02110—23:49
29N. MacKinnonC101060.451003623:28
6E. JohnsonD000-210.02210—22:38
92G. LandeskogL000000.347106322:19
96M. RantanenR011040.262005020:45
27R. GravesD000-110.02630—18:00
28I. ColeD011+110.01414—16:32
44M. BarberioD000+120.02220—15:53
91N. KadriC000-120.065004314:57
72J. DonskoiR000-100.06110—14:14
37J. CompherL000-110.182004014:10
83M. NietoL011+110.03100—13:54
17T. JostC000-120.141023813:39
95A. BurakovskyL000-100.00100—13:26
11M. CalvertL101+140.35300—12:02
22C. WilsonC000000.00110012:01
41P. BellemareL000+100.000104411:30
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(O)32293.9062.64-0.3663:57

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).