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Penguins at Golden Knights
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
3
FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-PT·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Tanev's goal at 2:15 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 73% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were PIT 16, VGK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 12 of 16 (.750), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Max Pacioretty (1 G), 2. Paul Stastny (1 G), 3. Dominik Kahun (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    P. Stastny1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    D. Kahun1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT281414416
VGKVGK01321219334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(12)
    B. Rust (18), D. Kahun (13)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:53
  2. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(10)
    J. Johnson (6), K. Letang (17)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    7:10

2nd period

  1. PIT
    D. Kahun(10)PPG
    J. Marino (16), J. Riikola (5)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    4:18
  2. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(19)
    N. Hague (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    7:11
  3. VGK
    P. Stastny(12)PPG
    S. Theodore (20), M. Stone (26)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    14:18

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Tanev(9)
    K. Letang (18), T. Blueger (9)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    2:15
  2. VGK
    R. Smith(17)
    C. Stephenson (6), N. Schmidt (14)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    4-3
    12:45

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:08PITJohn Marino · Broken stick2 min

2nd

  • 2:22VGKNicolas Hague · Holding the stickdrawn by Alex Galchenyuk2 min
  • 13:18PITJack Johnson · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 3:05VGKTomas Nosek · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:17PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalPIT goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Tanev, 3rd 2:15 — PIT 73% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.19W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.14M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.13P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.12M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.11A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.11A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.10P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.09P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.09P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.08M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.07P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.07P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.07A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.07A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.06A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.8 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsVGK
1.84 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.53 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT28%72%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsVGK
16
Shots on goal
34
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
28
17
Blocked shots
7
5
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD022+100.00620—26:19
3J. JohnsonD011+110.03422—22:03
17B. RustR011030.74130—21:55
28M. PetterssonD000000.00010—21:14
6J. MarinoD011000.00012—20:13
71E. MalkinC101010.110126518:27
24D. KahunC112020.1100010017:30
19J. McCannL000+100.001004617:07
53T. BluegerC011000.001103815:54
72P. HornqvistR101+120.24100—15:12
2C. RuhwedelD000010.09120—15:09
13B. TanevL101020.21520—14:55
46Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.04100—14:09
12D. SimonC000+120.1000010013:44
50J. RiikolaD011000.03110—13:38
18A. GalchenyukC000010.0500010010:11
26A. AgozzinoL000000.001103309:48
37S. LaffertyC000010.022008007:21
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)34313.9122.82-0.1860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).