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Golden Knights at Penguins
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, ATTSN-RM·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-0. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Stastny's goal at 3:48 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 50% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were VGK 24, PIT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Tristan Jarry (21 saves, .955), 3. William Karlsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Fleury29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0611028324
PITPIT0110909029

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    3:48

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.50win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    18:45
  2. VGK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.52
    3-0
    19:08

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:59VGKBrayden McNabb · Interferencedrawn by Dominik Simon2 min

2nd

  • 2:22PITZachary Aston-Reese · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Marc-Andre Fleury2 min
  • 9:57PITDominik Simon · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

3rd

  • 7:21VGKReilly Smith · Trippingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 9:27VGKCody Eakin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:10VGKJon Merrill · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 18:56PITPatric Hornqvist · Boardingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalVGK goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Paul Stastny, 2nd 3:48 — VGK 50% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.16K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.14P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.12D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.11D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.10S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.10D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.10K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.10J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.09J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.08K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.07J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.05J. Blandisi · On goal · xG 0.05A. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT0 G · 2.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsPIT
2.71 G
All situations
0 G2.1
1.30 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK42%58%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsPIT
24
Shots on goal
29
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
38
Hits
31
19
Blocked shots
7
5
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3B. McNabbD000+100.00312—22:10
5D. EngellandD011+110.00040—22:07
71W. KarlssonC101+130.591004120:53
27S. TheodoreD000+110.07000—19:48
19R. SmithR000+100.00302—19:23
81J. MarchessaultR000020.1040010018:29
22N. HoldenD000010.05130—18:18
15J. MerrillD000010.01212—18:09
61M. StoneR101+150.79000—17:15
26P. StastnyC101010.152001316:58
45J. BischoffD000+120.05230—16:06
67M. PaciorettyL011+140.510205014:51
21C. EakinC000000.002225914:18
9C. GlassC011010.20310013:32
92T. NosekL000000.003208313:00
73B. PirriC000020.15000010:35
75R. ReavesR000000.0460010008:48
28W. CarrierL000000.00600—07:45
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)292901.0002.10+2.1059:35

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).