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Jets at Wild
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-N, FS-WI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2 in overtime, Eric Staal scoring at 1:52. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 1:52 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were WPG 21, MIN 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 41 of 44 (.932); Devan Dubnyk stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Eric Staal (1 G), 2. Marcus Foligno (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (41 saves, .932).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    E. Staal1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck41 saves, .932

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG071101400221
MINMIN11301111614344

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Foligno(5)
    J. Eriksson Ek (13), L. Kunin (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:12

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(20)PPG
    B. Wheeler (22), N. Pionk (24)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    0:39

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(14)PPG
    K. Connor (20), M. Scheifele (28)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    0:52
  2. MIN
    L. Kunin(10)
    M. Foligno (9), M. Dumba (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +38 pts
    2-2
    14:30

Overtime

  1. MIN
    E. Staal(16)PPG
    Z. Parise (11), R. Suter (22)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:52

Penalties

WPG 12 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:40WPGNeal Pionk · Interferencedrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 7:45WPGNeal Pionk · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 0:22MINKevin Fiala · Holdingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 7:21MINLuke Kunin · High sticking double minordrawn by Mark Scheifele4 min
  • 7:37WPGPatrik Laine · Interferencedrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 7:55WPGTucker Poolman · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 15:52WPGTucker Poolman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:01MINJordan Greenway · High sticking double minordrawn by Anthony Bitetto4 min

OT

  • 0:54WPGBlake Wheeler · Slashingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWPG goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, OT 1:52 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.27Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.27E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.23M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.19M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.19Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.16M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.13K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.09L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.09M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.08R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.08M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.07M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.07M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.06L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 3.3 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMIN
1.42 G
All situations
3 G3.3
0.80 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.62 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG19%81%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMIN
21
Shots on goal
44
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/5
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
15
Hits
15
14
Blocked shots
10
2
Giveaways
2
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD011030.16414—25:38
5L. SbisaD000010.02240—22:47
3T. PoolmanD000-120.05224—22:46
44J. MorrisseyD000-110.05000—20:19
17A. LowryC000020.030105719:54
81K. ConnorL011-200.17010—19:52
55M. ScheifeleC112-210.271006519:40
29P. LaineL000-100.01102—18:25
26B. WheelerR112030.180023818:20
28J. RoslovicC000010.02000016:28
2A. BitettoD000-120.07100—16:00
27N. EhlersL000020.17110—15:31
58J. HarkinsC000020.02020014:00
85M. PerreaultC000000.02310013:22
23C. DahlstromD000-100.00000—11:31
21N. ShoreC000010.04010008:36
82M. AppletonC000-100.00000007:58
57G. BourqueL000000.15000—04:29
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(O)44413.9323.29+0.2961:52

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).