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Wild at Jets
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 8:47 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were MIN 40, WPG 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.3 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 38 of 40 (.950). Three stars: 1. Patrik Laine (2 G, 2 A), 2. Blake Wheeler (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (38 saves, .950).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Laine2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck38 saves, .950

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11601519240
WPGWPG012210310532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(1)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:08

2nd period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(3)
    M. Scheifele (6), P. Laine (6)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:37
  2. WPG
    P. Laine(2)
    M. Scheifele (7), B. Wheeler (2)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    9:10

3rd period

  1. MIN
    B. Hunt(1)
    M. Foligno (2), J. Eriksson Ek (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    3:09
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(2)
    P. Laine (7), N. Pionk (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    8:47
  3. WPG
    J. Roslovic(2)
    J. Morrissey (2), A. Copp (2)
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    9:15
  4. WPG
    P. Laine(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.66win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    17:41

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:50MINMats Zuccarello · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 18:39WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Interferencedrawn by Eric Staal2 min

2nd

  • 9:38WPGDmitry Kulikov · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 17:25MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

3rd

  • 7:46WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Interferencedrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 7:46MINCarson Soucy · Roughingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 3rd 8:47 — WPG 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.66P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.52J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.33J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.31M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.26K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.17P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.13B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.11P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.05M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04M. Letestu · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.02G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
2.52 G
All situations
4 G3.9
1.92 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN48%52%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
40
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
29
9
Blocked shots
20
6
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000-110.07310—25:48
20R. SuterD000050.06010—25:20
46J. SpurgeonD000-450.23200—20:00
25J. BrodinD000-210.02010—18:38
11Z. PariseL000-210.08300—17:26
19L. KuninC000-140.433004717:10
77B. HuntD101060.18010—16:46
9M. KoivuC000-150.271107516:44
12E. StaalC000-220.441003316:20
22K. FialaL000-110.12110—15:35
18J. GreenwayL000-110.02100—15:17
16J. ZuckerL000010.2121010015:11
36M. ZuccarelloR000-100.00002—14:11
17M. FolignoL011020.0351010013:52
21C. SoucyD000+110.02102—13:33
14J. Eriksson EkC011010.032105011:33
6R. DonatoC000+100.00000010:37
38R. HartmanR101030.27002—10:24
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)31274.8712.72-1.2859:35

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).