Devils at Islanders 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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New Jersey Devils

▸2

New York Islanders

FinalTV NBCSN·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Islanders 2-1. The Islanders scored first; the Devils answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nico Hischier's goal at 1:09 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 31, NYI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mackenzie Blackwood (29 saves, .967), 2. Nico Hischier (1 G), 3. Brock Nelson (1 G).

Three stars

★
M. Blackwood29 saves, .967
★★
N. Hischier1 G
★★★
B. Nelson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NJD	09	113	19	231
NYI	011	19	010	130

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

B. Nelson(15)
R. Pulock (14), D. Brassard (13)
wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
0-1
7:33
P. Subban(4)
N. Gusev (17), T. Zajac (8)
slapxG 0.04win prob +22 pts
1-1
18:33

3rd period

N. Hischier(9)
K. Palmieri (13)
wristxG 0.17win prob +25 pts
2-1
1:09

Penalties

6 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

5:34Miles Wood · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
9:22Devon Toews · Interferencedrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
15:32Damon Severson · Slashingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

2nd

7:20Anthony Beauvillier · Slashingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min
7:20Sami Vatanen · Embellishmentdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

3rd

9:32Matt Martin · Trippingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NYI

Biggest swing: Nico Hischier, 3rd 1:09 — NJD 48% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.3 xG · 42 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.7 xG · 61 att NYI

1 G · 2.3 xG · 42 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.72 G
All situations: 1 G2.3; 2.22 G
Even strength: 1 G1.9; 0.60 G
Power play: 0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

57%43%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

31
Shots on goal: 30; 47%
Faceoffs: 53%; 0/2
Power play: 0/2; 6
Penalty minutes: 6; 25
Hits: 30; 23
Blocked shots: 20; 13
Giveaways: 16; 7
Takeaways: 9

Box score

every player line

New Jersey Devils skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
28D. SeversonD	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	2	2	2	—	24:03
45S. VatanenD	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	2	2	—	20:52
6A. GreeneD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	3	3	0	—	20:28
13N. HischierC	1	0	1	0	4	0.49	0	1	0	57	20:12
76P. SubbanD	1	0	1	+1	4	0.23	3	1	0	—	19:02
20B. ColemanL	0	0	0	+1	4	0.26	5	1	0	67	18:11
8W. ButcherD	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	1	0	—	18:10
21K. PalmieriC	0	1	1	0	1	0.22	1	2	0	50	18:07
19T. ZajacC	0	1	1	+1	0	0.10	1	1	0	50	17:54
25M. MuellerD	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	3	0	—	17:41
37P. ZachaC	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	0	0	0	16:17
44M. WoodL	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	2	—	15:37
63J. BrattL	0	0	0	+1	2	0.24	0	1	0	—	15:36
17W. SimmondsR	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	1	0	—	15:33
97N. GusevL	0	1	1	+1	3	0.20	0	0	0	—	13:56
90J. BoqvistC	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	1	0	0	0	07:30
16K. RooneyC	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	1	0	67	07:26
15J. HaydenC	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	2	1	0	0	07:25

New Jersey Devils goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
29M. Blackwood(W)	30	29	1	.967	2.33	+1.33	60:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Jan 22@1this game
Jan 74@3OTFinal

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score