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Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV SN, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Calgary Flames 5-2. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Myers's goal at 6:40 of the first period, which took the Canucks' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals were close — VAN 3.1, CGY 3.0; shots on goal were VAN 28, CGY 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Myers (2 G, 1 A), 2. Rasmus Andersson (1 G), 3. Jake Virtanen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Myers2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Virtanen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN3110829528
CGYCGY091917225

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    T. Myers(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    3:29
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    6:40
  3. VAN
    T. Myers (10), T. Pearson (16)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    10:52

2nd period

  1. CGY
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:36

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.05win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    6:14
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.23
    4-2
    19:02
  3. VAN
    B. Horvat (20), A. Edler (14)
    backhandxG 0.77
    5-2
    19:35

Penalties

VAN 10 PIM·CGY 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:53CGYMichael Frolik · Trippingdrawn by Oscar Fantenberg2 min
  • 10:14CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 18:16VANTroy Stecher · Slashingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min

2nd

  • 1:18VANAlexander Edler · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 6:11CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 8:21CGYRasmus Andersson · Trippingdrawn by Tim Schaller2 min
  • 9:22CGYTravis Hamonic · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:08VANChris Tanev · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 17:46VANJay Beagle · Slashingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
  • 17:46CGYTJ Brodie · Roughingdrawn by Jay Beagle2 min

3rd

  • 9:20VANTim Schaller · Trippingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Myers, 1st 6:40 — VAN 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hanifin · Goal · xG 0.23M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.19S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.19M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.17S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.14D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.13R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.13M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.13M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.12S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.08S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.04O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.04O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.03T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.01O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
3.14 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN39%61%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
25
68%
Faceoffs
32%
2/5
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
14
Hits
13
15
Blocked shots
10
14
Giveaways
19
13
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD011+210.01102—22:02
57T. MyersD213040.14210—21:04
43Q. HughesD011000.07000—20:26
8C. TanevD000+100.10012—19:43
9J. MillerC000+140.450105619:16
53B. HorvatC022+100.121008517:40
40E. PetterssonC000+120.21010016:35
51T. StecherD000000.02022—15:50
83J. BeagleC000-110.042126115:21
6B. BoeserR011040.40000—15:19
70T. PearsonL213+230.87020—15:15
21L. ErikssonL011+220.21000—14:31
5O. FantenbergD000-110.01160—14:15
64T. MotteC000-100.0030010014:11
18J. VirtanenR112040.28200—13:06
88A. GaudetteR011010.160006012:22
59T. SchallerL000-110.03002—12:13
26A. RousselL000000.00200—11:12
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)25232.9202.98+0.9859:39

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).