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Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV SNP, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 1:10 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were VAN 34, CGY 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 27 of 29 (.931); David Rittich stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Rittich (34 saves, 1.000), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G, 2 A), 3. Sean Monahan (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Rittich34 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN01105018034
CGYCGY11011416330

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:50

2nd period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    1:10

3rd period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.88win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    18:59

Penalties

VAN 10 PIM·CGY 14 PIM

1st

  • 0:33CGYElias Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 9:53VANTroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

2nd

  • 4:46VANJosh Leivo · Hookingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 6:31VANserved by J. Virtanen · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:33CGYTJ Brodie · Interferencedrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 17:44CGYMilan Lucic · Trippingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min
  • 18:39VANTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 18:39CGYTravis Hamonic · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 19:49VANserved by J. Virtanen · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 1:10CGYMilan Lucic · Hookingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 2:10CGYElias Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 5:45CGYTravis Hamonic · Holdingdrawn by Jay Beagle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, 2nd 1:10 — CGY 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.88S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.20M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.11M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.10S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.09D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.07D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.06R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.05T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.03S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.00S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
2.40 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.40 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN58%42%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
34
Shots on goal
30
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/6
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
14
7
Hits
13
6
Blocked shots
19
14
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD000-220.04110—25:23
57T. MyersD000-160.36022—24:50
40E. PetterssonC000-110.25000021:57
43Q. HughesD000-240.22100—21:47
6B. BoeserR000-160.38000—20:32
9J. MillerC000-230.130005019:06
53B. HorvatC000-220.050005818:35
70T. PearsonL000-220.05000—18:26
8C. TanevD000-110.08010—18:02
17J. LeivoL000-100.3810210017:20
20B. SutterC000-140.150005614:29
79M. FerlandL000010.11100—12:41
88A. GaudetteR000000.001004311:56
4J. BennD000010.05000—11:42
18J. VirtanenR000000.07100—10:32
51T. StecherD000000.01012—10:32
59T. SchallerL000010.10010—08:14
83J. BeagleC000000.001008007:16
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)29272.9312.01+0.0158:38

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).