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Hurricanes at Avalanche
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
1
FinalTV FS-CR, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Avalanche scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaccob Slavin's goal at 18:21 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.5 to 2.7; shots on goal were CAR 40, COL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. James Reimer stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jaccob Slavin (1 G), 2. James Reimer (27 saves, .964), 3. Philipp Grubauer (37 saves, .949).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Slavin1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Reimer27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    COL
    P. Grubauer37 saves, .949

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR016012312340
COLCOL01101314128

Scoring

4 goals

3rd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(7)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (32), S. Girard (12)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +24 pts
    0-1
    4:05
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(15)
    W. Foegele (10), J. Staal (8)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +40 pts
    1-1
    17:04
  3. CAR
    J. Slavin(4)
    L. Wallmark (7), J. Martinook (5)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +44 pts
    2-1
    18:21
  4. CAR
    S. Aho(21)EN
    J. Martinook (6), T. Teravainen (28)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    19:54

Penalties

CAR 12 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:56CARJames Reimer · Trippingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 9:34CARLucas Wallmark · High stickingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 13:03CARserved by A. Svechnikov · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 3:54COLserved by T. Jost · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:50CARDougie Hamilton · Hookingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 9:30CARWarren Foegele · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:11COLNazem Kadri · Interferencedrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min

3rd

  • 2:44CARBrian Gibbons · High stickingdrawn by Matt Calvert2 min
  • 6:54COLGabriel Landeskog · Interferencedrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCAR goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Jaccob Slavin, 3rd 18:21 — CAR 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.21V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.20G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.17N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.17E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.17J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.05P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.04N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 2.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCOL
3.52 G
All situations
1 G2.7
2.12 G
Even strength
0 G0.9
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR47%53%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCOL
40
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
9
17
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
3
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD000+230.07030—24:01
19D. HamiltonD000+260.15112—22:03
74J. SlavinD101+260.15100—21:34
11J. StaalC011+120.286005720:41
6J. EdmundsonD000030.04310—19:28
20S. AhoC101+121.010003818:00
86T. TeravainenC011+130.20010017:44
37A. SvechnikovR101+120.59210—17:03
51J. GardinerD000010.04010—16:03
71L. WallmarkC011+120.072025315:50
88M. NecasC000010.21110015:17
13W. FoegeleL011+140.25202—15:08
18R. DzingelC000010.15120014:41
21N. NiederreiterR000030.17000—14:19
23B. McGinnL000+100.00020—10:51
57T. van RiemsdykD000010.03140—10:44
48J. MartinookL022+200.101003609:53
29B. GibbonsC000000.00002005:19
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(W)28271.9642.73+1.7360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).