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Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV FS-W, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 15:38 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 60% to 90%. Expected goals were close — ANA 1.8, WPG 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 33, WPG 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. John Gibson stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.0 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (31 saves, .939), 2. Mark Scheifele (2 G), 3. Mathieu Perreault (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Perreault2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11305115233
WPGWPG18112113333

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:02
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:34

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:09

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.32win prob +29 pts
    2-2
    8:04
  2. WPG
    B. Wheeler (14), N. Pionk (12)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +30 pts
    2-3
    15:38

Penalties

ANA 13 PIM·WPG 9 PIM

1st

  • 9:59WPGKyle Connor · High stickingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 10:43ANAJakob Silfverberg · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 14:51WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf5 min
  • 14:51ANARyan Getzlaf · Fightingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers5 min
  • 15:57ANAMaxime Comtois · Holdingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu2 min

2nd

  • 7:31ANANicolas Deslauriers · Holdingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

3rd

  • 15:15ANARyan Getzlaf · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 16:14WPGAdam Lowry · Cross checkingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalANA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 3rd 15:38 — WPG 60% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.19M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.15N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.05M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.03L. Sbisa · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.02L. Sbisa · On goal · xG 0.02N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01L. Sbisa · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.01N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.01L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.00N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 2.0 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsWPG
1.82 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA46%54%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsWPG
33
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
9
20
Hits
17
19
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000+110.04020—24:20
6E. GudbransonD000020.06220—24:15
14A. HenriqueC000040.180103920:24
47H. LindholmD000-120.09110—19:00
15R. GetzlafC011050.132173618:44
67R. RakellR011020.11210—17:57
25O. KaseR000020.10010—17:06
44M. Del ZottoD000+120.03120—16:26
5K. HolzerD000+110.01010—16:00
33J. SilfverbergR101010.13022—15:33
76J. MahuraD000-200.03020—15:29
38D. GrantC000000.002007615:03
61T. TerryR011020.26010—14:59
29D. ShoreC101030.39020014:53
53M. ComtoisL000020.07502—13:52
34S. SteelC000010.090004312:39
24C. RowneyC000020.0730010011:11
20N. DeslauriersL000010.05202—07:29
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)33303.9092.00-1.0058:15

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).