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Jets at Ducks
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
4
Anaheim Ducks
▸7
FinalTV ESPN+, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Winnipeg Jets 7-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Ducks led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Troy Terry's goal at 8:00 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were WPG 40, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 14 of 19 (.737), 3.6 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 36 of 40 (.900). Three stars: 1. Josh Mahura (3 A), 2. Jakob Silfverberg (2 A), 3. Adam Henrique (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Mahura3 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG29113118440
ANAANA1134926728

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(5)
    J. Roslovic (3), T. Poolman (1)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:55
  2. ANA
    C. Fowler(3)
    J. Silfverberg (4), M. Del Zotto (2)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:01
  3. WPG
    B. Wheeler(4)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    12:02

2nd period

  1. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(6)
    M. Comtois (3)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    0:38
  2. ANA
    A. Henrique(8)
    J. Silfverberg (5), J. Mahura (1)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    6:18
  3. WPG
    N. Ehlers(6)
    B. Little (2), J. Morrissey (7)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    7:00
  4. ANA
    T. Terry(2)
    J. Mahura (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    3-4
    8:00
  5. ANA
    D. Grant(2)
    N. Deslauriers (1), J. Mahura (3)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    3-5
    9:10

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Little(2)
    N. Ehlers (7)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    4-5
    6:39
  2. ANA
    C. Rowney(3)
    D. Grant (3), C. Fowler (4)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +8 pts
    4-6
    16:12
  3. ANA
    C. Rowney(4)EN
    R. Getzlaf (3)
    wristxG 0.53
    4-7
    19:57

Penalties

WPG 2 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:43WPGNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Michael Del Zotto2 min

2nd

  • 11:33ANARyan Getzlaf · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 13:50ANAJacob Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalWPG goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Troy Terry, 2nd 8:00 — ANA 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Rowney · Goal · xG 0.53C. Rowney · Goal · xG 0.17D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.17D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.16M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.15M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.13C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.12N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.10A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.08T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.08N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.07M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · Goal · xG 0.07M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.07T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.06R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.06S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.05A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.04S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.02K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.02D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA7 G · 2.8 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsANA
3.54 G
All situations
6 G2.8
2.74 G
Even strength
6 G1.9
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG70%30%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsANA
40
Shots on goal
28
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
22
6
Blocked shots
19
15
Giveaways
21
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011-450.30300—24:49
55M. ScheifeleC000-400.030105923:19
26B. WheelerR101-440.392105022:56
81K. ConnorL000-390.81100—22:24
7D. KulikovD000+210.05510—20:18
4N. PionkD000+120.07302—20:06
27N. EhlersL213+140.67100—19:24
9A. CoppC000-310.180006018:41
85M. PerreaultC000-100.00200018:03
28J. RoslovicC011+210.20000017:42
18B. LittleC112+250.430003916:31
57G. BourqueL000-120.02620—15:51
3T. PoolmanD011-520.02100—14:47
5L. SbisaD000010.05300—13:35
2A. BitettoD000+120.07100—11:44
23C. DahlstromD000000.00010—09:05
38L. ShawR000010.18100—05:41
19D. GustafssonC000000.050005005:33
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)19145.7371.37-3.6329:10
30L. Brossoit871.8750.88-0.1228:21

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).