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Maple Leafs at Blues
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV NHLN, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 9:12 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals were close — TOR 2.5, STL 2.6; shots on goal were TOR 27, STL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 15 of 16 (.938). Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (2 G), 2. Zach Hyman (2 G), 3. Frederik Andersen (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    Z. Hyman2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    F. Andersen26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR41215010527
STLSTL1801119228

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    Z. Hyman(4)
    M. Marner (15)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:50
  2. STL
    I. Barbashev(5)
    R. Thomas (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:25
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(17)
    W. Nylander (12), P. Aberg (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    6:51
  4. TOR
    Z. Hyman(5)SHG
    P. Engvall (2)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    9:12
  5. TOR
    J. Spezza(4)PPG
    M. Rielly (18), K. Kapanen (10)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    12:57

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(18)PPG
    M. Marner (16)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    9:29

3rd period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(12)
    A. Pietrangelo (15), R. O'Reilly (21)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    2:02

Penalties

TOR 13 PIM·STL 9 PIM

1st

  • 7:56TORMorgan Rielly · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 11:28STLNathan Walker · Holdingdrawn by Travis Dermott2 min
  • 16:43TORJason Spezza · High stickingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

2nd

  • 5:51TORAlexander Kerfoot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:48STLVince Dunn · Interferencedrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 10:15TORJustin Holl · Hookingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

3rd

  • 2:59STLTroy Brouwer · Fightingdrawn by Travis Dermott5 min
  • 2:59TORTravis Dermott · Fightingdrawn by Troy Brouwer5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalTOR goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 1st 9:12 — TOR 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.19R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.17D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.14J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.14M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.13J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.12J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.11J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.10A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.08T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.08J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.08D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.07M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.05N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.05M. MacEachern · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsSTL
2.55 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.42 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR46%54%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
28
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/2
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
9
9
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
19
8
Giveaways
5
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD011+140.33012—21:55
94T. BarrieD000+110.02000—21:49
8J. MuzzinD000+120.07420—20:22
83C. CeciD000-210.10220—20:19
91J. TavaresC000+120.140003819:37
16M. MarnerR022+100.07020—19:09
11Z. HymanL202+250.450004318:50
3J. HollD000+200.00212—18:07
34A. MatthewsC202+140.391005717:56
88W. NylanderR011+100.070003316:28
23T. DermottD000-100.00015—15:54
24K. KapanenR011-200.00000—14:35
65I. MikheyevR000-240.54010—13:38
15A. KerfootC000-210.140125012:36
46P. AbergL011+100.00010—12:03
47P. EngvallL011+110.030105010:36
19J. SpezzaC101020.120123309:40
61N. PetanC000000.00000009:02
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)28262.9292.63+0.6359:24

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).